**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiational cooling in Chongqing on September 6, with official forecasts pointing to a minimum near 22–26°C.** Recent days have featured hot conditions (highs 34–39°C) under a stable subtropical air mass, keeping dew points moderate and allowing efficient heat loss after sunset once cloud cover drops near zero. Model consensus from sources like local meteorological services and global ensembles shows early-morning lows clustering around 22–25°C, with slight differences arising from wind speed variations (1–4 m/s southeast), exact humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River basin topography. These factors create the tight market spread between 24–26°C outcomes, while the 25% probability on 21°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from any unexpected increase in moisture or light cloud that could limit cooling. Updated model runs and local observations on the 5th–6th will refine the final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
22°C 62%
23°C 62%
21°C or below 50%
25°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
50%
22°C
62%
23°C
62%
24°C
33%
25°C
34%
26°C
33%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 62%
23°C 62%
21°C or below 50%
25°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
50%
22°C
$0 Vol.
62%
23°C
$0 Vol.
62%
24°C
$0 Vol.
33%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
33%
27°C
$3 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiational cooling in Chongqing on September 6, with official forecasts pointing to a minimum near 22–26°C.** Recent days have featured hot conditions (highs 34–39°C) under a stable subtropical air mass, keeping dew points moderate and allowing efficient heat loss after sunset once cloud cover drops near zero. Model consensus from sources like local meteorological services and global ensembles shows early-morning lows clustering around 22–25°C, with slight differences arising from wind speed variations (1–4 m/s southeast), exact humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River basin topography. These factors create the tight market spread between 24–26°C outcomes, while the 25% probability on 21°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from any unexpected increase in moisture or light cloud that could limit cooling. Updated model runs and local observations on the 5th–6th will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$108End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiational cooling in Chongqing on September 6, with official forecasts pointing to a minimum near 22–26°C.** Recent days have featured hot conditions (highs 34–39°C) under a stable subtropical air mass, keeping dew points moderate and allowing efficient heat loss after sunset once cloud cover drops near zero. Model consensus from sources like local meteorological services and global ensembles shows early-morning lows clustering around 22–25°C, with slight differences arising from wind speed variations (1–4 m/s southeast), exact humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River basin topography. These factors create the tight market spread between 24–26°C outcomes, while the 25% probability on 21°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from any unexpected increase in moisture or light cloud that could limit cooling. Updated model runs and local observations on the 5th–6th will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$108End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiational cooling in Chongqing on September 6, with official forecasts pointing to a minimum near 22–26°C.** Recent days have featured hot conditions (highs 34–39°C) under a stable subtropical air mass, keeping dew points moderate and allowing efficient heat loss after sunset once cloud cover drops near zero. Model consensus from sources like local meteorological services and global ensembles shows early-morning lows clustering around 22–25°C, with slight differences arising from wind speed variations (1–4 m/s southeast), exact humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River basin topography. These factors create the tight market spread between 24–26°C outcomes, while the 25% probability on 21°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from any unexpected increase in moisture or light cloud that could limit cooling. Updated model runs and local observations on the 5th–6th will refine the final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions