Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 7, with highs centered in the low 30s°C range amid light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This late-summer pattern follows several days of similar stable warmth, with no strong cold fronts or cloud cover expected to suppress daytime heating. Historical September averages for the city hover near 28–29°C, yet current model consensus and recent observations support elevated readings near 32–33°C. Market-implied odds align closely with these data, assigning the highest probability to 33°C while assigning meaningful weight to 32°C and 34°C outcomes, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges in numerical weather prediction. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 7?
33°C 47%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
31°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
23%
33°C
47%
34°C
22%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
31°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
28°C or below
$106 Vol.
1%
29°C
$105 Vol.
1%
30°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$213 Vol.
5%
32°C
$748 Vol.
23%
33°C
$794 Vol.
47%
34°C
$677 Vol.
22%
35°C
$107 Vol.
5%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$191 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 7, with highs centered in the low 30s°C range amid light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This late-summer pattern follows several days of similar stable warmth, with no strong cold fronts or cloud cover expected to suppress daytime heating. Historical September averages for the city hover near 28–29°C, yet current model consensus and recent observations support elevated readings near 32–33°C. Market-implied odds align closely with these data, assigning the highest probability to 33°C while assigning meaningful weight to 32°C and 34°C outcomes, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges in numerical weather prediction. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,069End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 7, with highs centered in the low 30s°C range amid light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This late-summer pattern follows several days of similar stable warmth, with no strong cold fronts or cloud cover expected to suppress daytime heating. Historical September averages for the city hover near 28–29°C, yet current model consensus and recent observations support elevated readings near 32–33°C. Market-implied odds align closely with these data, assigning the highest probability to 33°C while assigning meaningful weight to 32°C and 34°C outcomes, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges in numerical weather prediction. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,069End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and international models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 7, with highs centered in the low 30s°C range amid light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This late-summer pattern follows several days of similar stable warmth, with no strong cold fronts or cloud cover expected to suppress daytime heating. Historical September averages for the city hover near 28–29°C, yet current model consensus and recent observations support elevated readings near 32–33°C. Market-implied odds align closely with these data, assigning the highest probability to 33°C while assigning meaningful weight to 32°C and 34°C outcomes, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges in numerical weather prediction. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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