Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daily maximum near 33°C in Wuhan under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Clear conditions following earlier cloud cover have allowed efficient daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology for the region, where highs typically reach 31–34°C. Minor model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact insolation keeps 32°C and 34°C probabilities alive, while the low odds for 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for stronger warming absent a heat-wave setup. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 6?
33°C 54%
34°C 24%
32°C 16%
35°C 6%
$13,267 Vol.
$13,267 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
16%
33°C
54%
34°C
24%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 54%
34°C 24%
32°C 16%
35°C 6%
$13,267 Vol.
$13,267 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
16%
33°C
54%
34°C
24%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daily maximum near 33°C in Wuhan under mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances, positioning this outcome as the market leader. Clear conditions following earlier cloud cover have allowed efficient daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology for the region, where highs typically reach 31–34°C. Minor model spread around boundary-layer moisture and exact insolation keeps 32°C and 34°C probabilities alive, while the low odds for 35°C or higher reflect limited potential for stronger warming absent a heat-wave setup. Updated observations through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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