Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a mainly cloudy September 6 in Toronto with a daytime high near 24°C and humidex values approaching 29 due to moderate humidity and light northeast winds. This aligns with the historical average high of 23.8°C for the date and explains the market's heavy weighting toward 23°C (50.5% implied probability) and adjacent outcomes at 22–24°C. Recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns and cloud cover that cap warming, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear skies reduces upside risk. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on September 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 6?
23°C 52%
22°C 28%
24°C 14%
21°C 6%
NEW
$12,260 Vol.
NEW
$12,260 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
28%
23°C
52%
24°C
14%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 52%
22°C 28%
24°C 14%
21°C 6%
NEW
$12,260 Vol.
NEW
$12,260 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
$317 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$595 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,567 Vol.
6%
22°C
$1,510 Vol.
28%
23°C
$1,918 Vol.
52%
24°C
$2,174 Vol.
14%
25°C
$500 Vol.
2%
26°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,679 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a mainly cloudy September 6 in Toronto with a daytime high near 24°C and humidex values approaching 29 due to moderate humidity and light northeast winds. This aligns with the historical average high of 23.8°C for the date and explains the market's heavy weighting toward 23°C (50.5% implied probability) and adjacent outcomes at 22–24°C. Recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns and cloud cover that cap warming, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear skies reduces upside risk. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$12,260End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a mainly cloudy September 6 in Toronto with a daytime high near 24°C and humidex values approaching 29 due to moderate humidity and light northeast winds. This aligns with the historical average high of 23.8°C for the date and explains the market's heavy weighting toward 23°C (50.5% implied probability) and adjacent outcomes at 22–24°C. Recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns and cloud cover that cap warming, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear skies reduces upside risk. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,260End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a mainly cloudy September 6 in Toronto with a daytime high near 24°C and humidex values approaching 29 due to moderate humidity and light northeast winds. This aligns with the historical average high of 23.8°C for the date and explains the market's heavy weighting toward 23°C (50.5% implied probability) and adjacent outcomes at 22–24°C. Recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns and cloud cover that cap warming, while the absence of strong frontal systems or clear skies reduces upside risk. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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