Forecast models and real-time observations from the National Weather Service indicate a high near 71–72°F in Seattle today under partly cloudy skies, light NNW winds, and stable high pressure, aligning closely with the long-term September 6 average of 72.8°F. This seasonal pattern, without incoming troughs or ridging to drive anomalous warmth or cooling, underpins the 71% market-implied probability for 72–73°F. Nearby stations and short-range guidance show minimal spread, with only slight upside risk from localized solar heating under clearing skies. Traders appear to weight the tight model consensus heavily, as historical extremes above 80°F or below 65°F remain rare on this date absent major synoptic shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on September 6?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 6?
72-73°F 71%
74-75°F 14%
70-71°F 13%
68-69°F 2%
$12,951 Vol.
$12,951 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
71%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 71%
74-75°F 14%
70-71°F 13%
68-69°F 2%
$12,951 Vol.
$12,951 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
63°F or below
$705 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$360 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$750 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,501 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$2,267 Vol.
13%
72-73°F
$3,658 Vol.
71%
74-75°F
$1,594 Vol.
14%
76-77°F
$782 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$563 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$388 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$383 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and real-time observations from the National Weather Service indicate a high near 71–72°F in Seattle today under partly cloudy skies, light NNW winds, and stable high pressure, aligning closely with the long-term September 6 average of 72.8°F. This seasonal pattern, without incoming troughs or ridging to drive anomalous warmth or cooling, underpins the 71% market-implied probability for 72–73°F. Nearby stations and short-range guidance show minimal spread, with only slight upside risk from localized solar heating under clearing skies. Traders appear to weight the tight model consensus heavily, as historical extremes above 80°F or below 65°F remain rare on this date absent major synoptic shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Volume
$12,951End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and real-time observations from the National Weather Service indicate a high near 71–72°F in Seattle today under partly cloudy skies, light NNW winds, and stable high pressure, aligning closely with the long-term September 6 average of 72.8°F. This seasonal pattern, without incoming troughs or ridging to drive anomalous warmth or cooling, underpins the 71% market-implied probability for 72–73°F. Nearby stations and short-range guidance show minimal spread, with only slight upside risk from localized solar heating under clearing skies. Traders appear to weight the tight model consensus heavily, as historical extremes above 80°F or below 65°F remain rare on this date absent major synoptic shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,951End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and real-time observations from the National Weather Service indicate a high near 71–72°F in Seattle today under partly cloudy skies, light NNW winds, and stable high pressure, aligning closely with the long-term September 6 average of 72.8°F. This seasonal pattern, without incoming troughs or ridging to drive anomalous warmth or cooling, underpins the 71% market-implied probability for 72–73°F. Nearby stations and short-range guidance show minimal spread, with only slight upside risk from localized solar heating under clearing skies. Traders appear to weight the tight model consensus heavily, as historical extremes above 80°F or below 65°F remain rare on this date absent major synoptic shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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