Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Qingdao under clear to partly cloudy skies on September 7 with light northeast to northerly winds of 3–5 m/s, favoring strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover to support afternoon highs near 28–30 °C. This pattern follows several consecutive sunny days with observed maxima of 28–31 °C, placing the market-implied peak around the 30–31 °C range that currently dominates trader consensus at roughly 77 % combined probability. Sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea and the absence of significant frontal systems keep extreme outliers below 10 % odds, while any late-model upward revision in boundary-layer temperatures could shift implied probabilities further toward 31–32 °C before official station readings finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 7?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 7?
31°C 45%
30°C 32%
32°C 12%
29°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
32%
31°C
45%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 45%
30°C 32%
32°C 12%
29°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
$50 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$49 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$123 Vol.
32%
31°C
$268 Vol.
45%
32°C
$7 Vol.
12%
33°C
$21 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$190 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Qingdao under clear to partly cloudy skies on September 7 with light northeast to northerly winds of 3–5 m/s, favoring strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover to support afternoon highs near 28–30 °C. This pattern follows several consecutive sunny days with observed maxima of 28–31 °C, placing the market-implied peak around the 30–31 °C range that currently dominates trader consensus at roughly 77 % combined probability. Sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea and the absence of significant frontal systems keep extreme outliers below 10 % odds, while any late-model upward revision in boundary-layer temperatures could shift implied probabilities further toward 31–32 °C before official station readings finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$873End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Qingdao under clear to partly cloudy skies on September 7 with light northeast to northerly winds of 3–5 m/s, favoring strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover to support afternoon highs near 28–30 °C. This pattern follows several consecutive sunny days with observed maxima of 28–31 °C, placing the market-implied peak around the 30–31 °C range that currently dominates trader consensus at roughly 77 % combined probability. Sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea and the absence of significant frontal systems keep extreme outliers below 10 % odds, while any late-model upward revision in boundary-layer temperatures could shift implied probabilities further toward 31–32 °C before official station readings finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$873End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Qingdao under clear to partly cloudy skies on September 7 with light northeast to northerly winds of 3–5 m/s, favoring strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover to support afternoon highs near 28–30 °C. This pattern follows several consecutive sunny days with observed maxima of 28–31 °C, placing the market-implied peak around the 30–31 °C range that currently dominates trader consensus at roughly 77 % combined probability. Sea-breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea and the absence of significant frontal systems keep extreme outliers below 10 % odds, while any late-model upward revision in boundary-layer temperatures could shift implied probabilities further toward 31–32 °C before official station readings finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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