Recent meteorological guidance for Panama City, Panama, points to a daytime maximum near 29°C on September 7 amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered thunderstorm activity that can limit surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment favoring 31-32°C over lower outcomes reflects model uncertainty in convective timing and coverage, as well as typical September climatology where brief clear spells allow brief spikes above seasonal norms. Key variables include afternoon cloud buildup along the Intertropical Convergence Zone and local wind patterns that modulate boundary-layer mixing; updated regional model runs and satellite observations of moisture convergence will likely refine the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
31°C 36%
32°C 30%
30°C 14%
33°C or higher 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
36%
32°C
30%
33°C or higher
14%
31°C 36%
32°C 30%
30°C 14%
33°C or higher 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
36%
32°C
30%
33°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance for Panama City, Panama, points to a daytime maximum near 29°C on September 7 amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered thunderstorm activity that can limit surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment favoring 31-32°C over lower outcomes reflects model uncertainty in convective timing and coverage, as well as typical September climatology where brief clear spells allow brief spikes above seasonal norms. Key variables include afternoon cloud buildup along the Intertropical Convergence Zone and local wind patterns that modulate boundary-layer mixing; updated regional model runs and satellite observations of moisture convergence will likely refine the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions