Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system are sustaining above-average warmth across northern Italy, with official forecasts from sources like ilMeteo and GFS models projecting a peak of 32–33°C for Milan on September 6 under light easterly flow and minimal cloud cover. These conditions position 32°C as the leading market outcome at 54.5% implied probability, followed closely by 31°C at 44.5%, reflecting narrow uncertainty in afternoon maximum readings. Above-normal temperatures for early September—typically averaging near 25°C—stem from persistent subsidence and dry air, with negligible precipitation risk supporting the tight clustering around these two bins. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine the final hourly peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 6?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 6?
32°C 52%
31°C 48%
33°C 3%
30°C 1.5%
NEW
$15,957 Vol.
NEW
$15,957 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
48%
32°C
52%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 52%
31°C 48%
33°C 3%
30°C 1.5%
NEW
$15,957 Vol.
NEW
$15,957 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
27°C or below
$1,681 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,059 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,204 Vol.
2%
31°C
$3,342 Vol.
48%
32°C
$4,095 Vol.
52%
33°C
$1,908 Vol.
3%
34°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,247 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$543 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system are sustaining above-average warmth across northern Italy, with official forecasts from sources like ilMeteo and GFS models projecting a peak of 32–33°C for Milan on September 6 under light easterly flow and minimal cloud cover. These conditions position 32°C as the leading market outcome at 54.5% implied probability, followed closely by 31°C at 44.5%, reflecting narrow uncertainty in afternoon maximum readings. Above-normal temperatures for early September—typically averaging near 25°C—stem from persistent subsidence and dry air, with negligible precipitation risk supporting the tight clustering around these two bins. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine the final hourly peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15,957End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system are sustaining above-average warmth across northern Italy, with official forecasts from sources like ilMeteo and GFS models projecting a peak of 32–33°C for Milan on September 6 under light easterly flow and minimal cloud cover. These conditions position 32°C as the leading market outcome at 54.5% implied probability, followed closely by 31°C at 44.5%, reflecting narrow uncertainty in afternoon maximum readings. Above-normal temperatures for early September—typically averaging near 25°C—stem from persistent subsidence and dry air, with negligible precipitation risk supporting the tight clustering around these two bins. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine the final hourly peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,957End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system are sustaining above-average warmth across northern Italy, with official forecasts from sources like ilMeteo and GFS models projecting a peak of 32–33°C for Milan on September 6 under light easterly flow and minimal cloud cover. These conditions position 32°C as the leading market outcome at 54.5% implied probability, followed closely by 31°C at 44.5%, reflecting narrow uncertainty in afternoon maximum readings. Above-normal temperatures for early September—typically averaging near 25°C—stem from persistent subsidence and dry air, with negligible precipitation risk supporting the tight clustering around these two bins. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine the final hourly peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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