**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 7 centered near 22–23°C under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, though ensemble spreads introduce meaningful uncertainty around exact radiative cooling overnight.** The Po Valley setting can foster localized inversions or urban heat island effects that moderate lows, while minor variations in cloud cover or dew points near 16°C could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show consistent warm advection but limited disagreement on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing, keeping 20–22°C outcomes competitive in trader sentiment. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to wind or humidity fields ahead of resolution will likely drive the narrowest probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 7?
23°C 47%
24°C 41%
20°C 34%
21°C 32%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
20%
19°C
22%
20°C
34%
21°C
32%
22°C
28%
23°C
47%
24°C
41%
25°C
14%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 41%
20°C 34%
21°C 32%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
34%
21°C
$0 Vol.
32%
22°C
$0 Vol.
28%
23°C
$0 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
41%
25°C
$0 Vol.
14%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 7 centered near 22–23°C under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, though ensemble spreads introduce meaningful uncertainty around exact radiative cooling overnight.**
The Po Valley setting can foster localized inversions or urban heat island effects that moderate lows, while minor variations in cloud cover or dew points near 16°C could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show consistent warm advection but limited disagreement on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing, keeping 20–22°C outcomes competitive in trader sentiment. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to wind or humidity fields ahead of resolution will likely drive the narrowest probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 7 centered near 22–23°C under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, though ensemble spreads introduce meaningful uncertainty around exact radiative cooling overnight.**
The Po Valley setting can foster localized inversions or urban heat island effects that moderate lows, while minor variations in cloud cover or dew points near 16°C could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show consistent warm advection but limited disagreement on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing, keeping 20–22°C outcomes competitive in trader sentiment. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to wind or humidity fields ahead of resolution will likely drive the narrowest probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 7 centered near 22–23°C under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, though ensemble spreads introduce meaningful uncertainty around exact radiative cooling overnight.** The Po Valley setting can foster localized inversions or urban heat island effects that moderate lows, while minor variations in cloud cover or dew points near 16°C could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show consistent warm advection but limited disagreement on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing, keeping 20–22°C outcomes competitive in trader sentiment. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to wind or humidity fields ahead of resolution will likely drive the narrowest probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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