**Current forecast models for Mexico City on September 6 point to a daytime maximum of 23–25°C, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters naturally moderates temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season brings widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating and produce brief cooling. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and regional models shows peaks near 23–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with 70–90% rain probability, aligning with climatological September averages. Minor model differences in shower timing create the tight spread between 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the low likelihood of clear, hot conditions or unusually strong cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations near midday will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 6?
24°C 43%
25°C 28%
23°C 25%
26°C or higher 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
25%
24°C
43%
25°C
28%
26°C or higher
6%
24°C 43%
25°C 28%
23°C 25%
26°C or higher 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
$515 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$365 Vol.
4%
23°C
$2,003 Vol.
25%
24°C
$2,125 Vol.
43%
25°C
$1,271 Vol.
28%
26°C or higher
$861 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models for Mexico City on September 6 point to a daytime maximum of 23–25°C, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters naturally moderates temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season brings widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating and produce brief cooling. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and regional models shows peaks near 23–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with 70–90% rain probability, aligning with climatological September averages. Minor model differences in shower timing create the tight spread between 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the low likelihood of clear, hot conditions or unusually strong cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations near midday will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,597End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models for Mexico City on September 6 point to a daytime maximum of 23–25°C, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters naturally moderates temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season brings widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating and produce brief cooling. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and regional models shows peaks near 23–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with 70–90% rain probability, aligning with climatological September averages. Minor model differences in shower timing create the tight spread between 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the low likelihood of clear, hot conditions or unusually strong cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations near midday will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,597End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models for Mexico City on September 6 point to a daytime maximum of 23–25°C, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters naturally moderates temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season brings widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating and produce brief cooling. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and regional models shows peaks near 23–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with 70–90% rain probability, aligning with climatological September averages. Minor model differences in shower timing create the tight spread between 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting the low likelihood of clear, hot conditions or unusually strong cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations near midday will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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