**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 93°F in Houston on September 7, 2026, with afternoon heat indices reaching 108°F amid high humidity and light winds.** This consensus, drawn from recent NWS point forecasts and ensemble guidance, underpins the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 92-93°F at 31%. Persistent late-summer ridging supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 90.8°F climatological average, though scattered afternoon convection could introduce modest cooling or localized variations. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of exceeding 96°F or falling below 92°F given current steering patterns and moisture profiles. Updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model outputs on September 6 will provide the final inputs before resolution based on official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 7?
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 31%
96-97°F 15%
90-91°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
31%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
2%
102°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 31%
96-97°F 15%
90-91°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
83°F or below
$85 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$50 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$55 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$410 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$2,259 Vol.
31%
94-95°F
$337 Vol.
46%
96-97°F
$81 Vol.
15%
98-99°F
$34 Vol.
4%
100-101°F
$55 Vol.
2%
102°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 93°F in Houston on September 7, 2026, with afternoon heat indices reaching 108°F amid high humidity and light winds.** This consensus, drawn from recent NWS point forecasts and ensemble guidance, underpins the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 92-93°F at 31%. Persistent late-summer ridging supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 90.8°F climatological average, though scattered afternoon convection could introduce modest cooling or localized variations. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of exceeding 96°F or falling below 92°F given current steering patterns and moisture profiles. Updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model outputs on September 6 will provide the final inputs before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,367End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 93°F in Houston on September 7, 2026, with afternoon heat indices reaching 108°F amid high humidity and light winds.** This consensus, drawn from recent NWS point forecasts and ensemble guidance, underpins the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 92-93°F at 31%. Persistent late-summer ridging supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 90.8°F climatological average, though scattered afternoon convection could introduce modest cooling or localized variations. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of exceeding 96°F or falling below 92°F given current steering patterns and moisture profiles. Updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model outputs on September 6 will provide the final inputs before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,367End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 93°F in Houston on September 7, 2026, with afternoon heat indices reaching 108°F amid high humidity and light winds.** This consensus, drawn from recent NWS point forecasts and ensemble guidance, underpins the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 45.5% implied probability, followed by 92-93°F at 31%. Persistent late-summer ridging supports daytime maxima several degrees above the 90.8°F climatological average, though scattered afternoon convection could introduce modest cooling or localized variations. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of exceeding 96°F or falling below 92°F given current steering patterns and moisture profiles. Updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model outputs on September 6 will provide the final inputs before resolution based on official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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