Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate a peak temperature in Chongqing on September 6 likely reaching 36–37°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities, driven by persistent high-pressure patterns and warm advection typical of late-summer conditions in the region, following recent highs of 34–39°C across parts of the municipality. Model consensus shows afternoon maxima around 36–37°C in central areas, with limited upside potential to 38°C or higher due to modest humidity and no strong warming signals. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and real-time station data on September 6 will determine the exact daily high for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
37°C 50%
36°C 31%
38°C 11%
35°C 8%
$11,427 Vol.
$11,427 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
8%
36°C
31%
37°C
50%
38°C
11%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 50%
36°C 31%
38°C 11%
35°C 8%
$11,427 Vol.
$11,427 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
8%
36°C
31%
37°C
50%
38°C
11%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate a peak temperature in Chongqing on September 6 likely reaching 36–37°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities, driven by persistent high-pressure patterns and warm advection typical of late-summer conditions in the region, following recent highs of 34–39°C across parts of the municipality. Model consensus shows afternoon maxima around 36–37°C in central areas, with limited upside potential to 38°C or higher due to modest humidity and no strong warming signals. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and real-time station data on September 6 will determine the exact daily high for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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