Prime Minister Mark Carney has repeatedly stated that Canada will not expel U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra, citing the need to manage ongoing bilateral relations despite tariff disputes and rhetorical tensions over trade and sovereignty. A large public petition seeking his removal as persona non grata under the Vienna Convention has gathered over 200,000 signatures and will reach Parliament this fall, yet it remains non-binding and carries no obligation for government action. Analysts note that such expulsions are rare diplomatic steps reserved for egregious interference, and current strains fall short of that threshold while both capitals retain channels for negotiation. Trader consensus at 95.5% for “No” reflects these structural and political barriers through year-end, though further trade escalations or shifts in Ottawa’s posture could still alter the outlook.