Recent July 2026 data showed consumer prices rising 2.1% month-over-month, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8% and interrupting three prior months of moderation, amid seasonal winter effects and regulated price adjustments. Under President Milei’s framework of primary fiscal surpluses, managed exchange-rate bands, and monetary restraint, the Central Bank’s latest REM survey places full-year 2026 inflation near 30%, with the Top 10 forecasters at 33%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% bins because trailing twelve-month prints remain elevated while monthly readings hover near 2%, leaving the final annual outcome sensitive to August–December prints, exchange-rate stability, and any further relative-price corrections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated30.0-34.9% 52.1%
25-29.9% 46%
<20% 1.8%
35–39.9% 1.6%
$45,738 Vol.
$45,738 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
46%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
2%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
1%
30.0-34.9% 52.1%
25-29.9% 46%
<20% 1.8%
35–39.9% 1.6%
$45,738 Vol.
$45,738 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
$4,653 Vol.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,231 Vol.
1%
25-29.9%
$13,539 Vol.
46%
30.0-34.9%
$13,775 Vol.
52%
35–39.9%
$3,531 Vol.
2%
40-44.9%
$3,564 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,445 Vol.
1%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 data showed consumer prices rising 2.1% month-over-month, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8% and interrupting three prior months of moderation, amid seasonal winter effects and regulated price adjustments. Under President Milei’s framework of primary fiscal surpluses, managed exchange-rate bands, and monetary restraint, the Central Bank’s latest REM survey places full-year 2026 inflation near 30%, with the Top 10 forecasters at 33%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% bins because trailing twelve-month prints remain elevated while monthly readings hover near 2%, leaving the final annual outcome sensitive to August–December prints, exchange-rate stability, and any further relative-price corrections.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$45,738End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July 2026 data showed consumer prices rising 2.1% month-over-month, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8% and interrupting three prior months of moderation, amid seasonal winter effects and regulated price adjustments. Under President Milei’s framework of primary fiscal surpluses, managed exchange-rate bands, and monetary restraint, the Central Bank’s latest REM survey places full-year 2026 inflation near 30%, with the Top 10 forecasters at 33%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% bins because trailing twelve-month prints remain elevated while monthly readings hover near 2%, leaving the final annual outcome sensitive to August–December prints, exchange-rate stability, and any further relative-price corrections.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$45,738End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 data showed consumer prices rising 2.1% month-over-month, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8% and interrupting three prior months of moderation, amid seasonal winter effects and regulated price adjustments. Under President Milei’s framework of primary fiscal surpluses, managed exchange-rate bands, and monetary restraint, the Central Bank’s latest REM survey places full-year 2026 inflation near 30%, with the Top 10 forecasters at 33%. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% bins because trailing twelve-month prints remain elevated while monthly readings hover near 2%, leaving the final annual outcome sensitive to August–December prints, exchange-rate stability, and any further relative-price corrections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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