Recent oversupply from expanded U.S. layer flocks exceeding 305 million hens and daily production near 466,000 cases has driven wholesale shell-egg prices sharply lower in August 2026, with benchmarks falling to 36–62 cents per dozen amid softened demand and rising inventories. This follows flock rebuilding after prior highly pathogenic avian influenza losses, reversing the 2025 price spike that peaked above $6 per dozen. July BLS data showed the Grade A large average at $2.189 per dozen, and trader consensus on Polymarket concentrates 62.9% implied probability in the $2.20–$2.30 bracket for the August release, reflecting the mixed retail basket that includes higher-priced specialty eggs. The next BLS average-price figure, due mid-September, will resolve the market against these supply-driven dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.20–$2.30 62.9%
$2.10–$2.20 18.9%
$2.30–$2.40 16%
$2.00–$2.10 2.3%
$36,629 Vol.
$36,629 Vol.
<$1.80
<1%
$1.80–$1.90
<1%
$1.90–$2.00
1%
$2.00–$2.10
2%
$2.10–$2.20
19%
$2.20–$2.30
63%
$2.30–$2.40
16%
$2.40–$2.50
1%
$2.50–$2.60
1%
≥$2.60
1%
$2.20–$2.30 62.9%
$2.10–$2.20 18.9%
$2.30–$2.40 16%
$2.00–$2.10 2.3%
$36,629 Vol.
$36,629 Vol.
<$1.80
<1%
$1.80–$1.90
<1%
$1.90–$2.00
1%
$2.00–$2.10
2%
$2.10–$2.20
19%
$2.20–$2.30
63%
$2.30–$2.40
16%
$2.40–$2.50
1%
$2.50–$2.60
1%
≥$2.60
1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent oversupply from expanded U.S. layer flocks exceeding 305 million hens and daily production near 466,000 cases has driven wholesale shell-egg prices sharply lower in August 2026, with benchmarks falling to 36–62 cents per dozen amid softened demand and rising inventories. This follows flock rebuilding after prior highly pathogenic avian influenza losses, reversing the 2025 price spike that peaked above $6 per dozen. July BLS data showed the Grade A large average at $2.189 per dozen, and trader consensus on Polymarket concentrates 62.9% implied probability in the $2.20–$2.30 bracket for the August release, reflecting the mixed retail basket that includes higher-priced specialty eggs. The next BLS average-price figure, due mid-September, will resolve the market against these supply-driven dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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