Recent July inflation at 2.1% month-on-month, above the 1.9% June reading and slightly ahead of forecasts, has anchored trader expectations for August around the 1.5-1.7% range, which commands a 63% implied probability. Core inflation held at 1.8%, while seasonal pressures from recreation and vegetables drove the headline, with analysts citing easing food prices and stable regulated items as key factors supporting further moderation. Market-implied odds align with consensus projections from the BCRA REM survey and private forecasters, reflecting ongoing disinflation under fiscal and monetary anchors amid 33.8% year-over-year readings. The August CPI release, anticipated near mid-September, represents the next key catalyst that could validate or shift these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.5-1.7% 63.3%
1.8-2.0% 29.4%
1.2-1.4% 11.0%
2.1-2.3% 2.3%
$21,029 Vol.
$21,029 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
11%
1.5-1.7%
63%
1.8-2.0%
29%
2.1-2.3%
2%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
<1%
3.0%+
<1%
1.5-1.7% 63.3%
1.8-2.0% 29.4%
1.2-1.4% 11.0%
2.1-2.3% 2.3%
$21,029 Vol.
$21,029 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
$900 Vol.
1%
1.2-1.4%
$1,591 Vol.
11%
1.5-1.7%
$7,565 Vol.
63%
1.8-2.0%
$7,449 Vol.
29%
2.1-2.3%
$1,467 Vol.
2%
2.4-2.6%
$710 Vol.
1%
2.7-2.9%
$673 Vol.
<1%
3.0%+
$673 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July inflation at 2.1% month-on-month, above the 1.9% June reading and slightly ahead of forecasts, has anchored trader expectations for August around the 1.5-1.7% range, which commands a 63% implied probability. Core inflation held at 1.8%, while seasonal pressures from recreation and vegetables drove the headline, with analysts citing easing food prices and stable regulated items as key factors supporting further moderation. Market-implied odds align with consensus projections from the BCRA REM survey and private forecasters, reflecting ongoing disinflation under fiscal and monetary anchors amid 33.8% year-over-year readings. The August CPI release, anticipated near mid-September, represents the next key catalyst that could validate or shift these probabilities.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Volume
$21,029End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July inflation at 2.1% month-on-month, above the 1.9% June reading and slightly ahead of forecasts, has anchored trader expectations for August around the 1.5-1.7% range, which commands a 63% implied probability. Core inflation held at 1.8%, while seasonal pressures from recreation and vegetables drove the headline, with analysts citing easing food prices and stable regulated items as key factors supporting further moderation. Market-implied odds align with consensus projections from the BCRA REM survey and private forecasters, reflecting ongoing disinflation under fiscal and monetary anchors amid 33.8% year-over-year readings. The August CPI release, anticipated near mid-September, represents the next key catalyst that could validate or shift these probabilities.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$21,029End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July inflation at 2.1% month-on-month, above the 1.9% June reading and slightly ahead of forecasts, has anchored trader expectations for August around the 1.5-1.7% range, which commands a 63% implied probability. Core inflation held at 1.8%, while seasonal pressures from recreation and vegetables drove the headline, with analysts citing easing food prices and stable regulated items as key factors supporting further moderation. Market-implied odds align with consensus projections from the BCRA REM survey and private forecasters, reflecting ongoing disinflation under fiscal and monetary anchors amid 33.8% year-over-year readings. The August CPI release, anticipated near mid-September, represents the next key catalyst that could validate or shift these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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