Recent August CPI data showed South Korea’s year-over-year inflation rebounding to 3.1 percent from 2.8 percent in July, driven by elevated oil prices and a low-base effect from prior mobile-service discounts that lifted core inflation to 3.4 percent. The Bank of Korea responded with consecutive 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3.0 percent while retaining its 2.7 percent full-year 2026 inflation forecast amid stronger AI-led growth projections. With eight months of 2026 data averaging near 2.6 percent and September readings due soon, traders weigh persistent underlying pressures against expected base-effect moderation, producing closely matched probabilities around the 2.4–3.0 percent range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.0%+ 31.7%
2.4% to 2.6% 23.9%
2.1% to 2.3% 15.4%
2.7% to 2.9% 15.4%
$38,748 Vol.
$38,748 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
4%
1.5% to 1.7%
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
2%
2.1% to 2.3%
15%
2.4% to 2.6%
24%
2.7% to 2.9%
15%
3.0%+
32%
3.0%+ 31.7%
2.4% to 2.6% 23.9%
2.1% to 2.3% 15.4%
2.7% to 2.9% 15.4%
$38,748 Vol.
$38,748 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
$2,776 Vol.
4%
1.5% to 1.7%
$3,030 Vol.
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
$1,782 Vol.
2%
2.1% to 2.3%
$4,190 Vol.
15%
2.4% to 2.6%
$5,429 Vol.
24%
2.7% to 2.9%
$6,482 Vol.
15%
3.0%+
$15,058 Vol.
32%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent August CPI data showed South Korea’s year-over-year inflation rebounding to 3.1 percent from 2.8 percent in July, driven by elevated oil prices and a low-base effect from prior mobile-service discounts that lifted core inflation to 3.4 percent. The Bank of Korea responded with consecutive 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3.0 percent while retaining its 2.7 percent full-year 2026 inflation forecast amid stronger AI-led growth projections. With eight months of 2026 data averaging near 2.6 percent and September readings due soon, traders weigh persistent underlying pressures against expected base-effect moderation, producing closely matched probabilities around the 2.4–3.0 percent range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$38,748End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent August CPI data showed South Korea’s year-over-year inflation rebounding to 3.1 percent from 2.8 percent in July, driven by elevated oil prices and a low-base effect from prior mobile-service discounts that lifted core inflation to 3.4 percent. The Bank of Korea responded with consecutive 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3.0 percent while retaining its 2.7 percent full-year 2026 inflation forecast amid stronger AI-led growth projections. With eight months of 2026 data averaging near 2.6 percent and September readings due soon, traders weigh persistent underlying pressures against expected base-effect moderation, producing closely matched probabilities around the 2.4–3.0 percent range.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$38,748End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent August CPI data showed South Korea’s year-over-year inflation rebounding to 3.1 percent from 2.8 percent in July, driven by elevated oil prices and a low-base effect from prior mobile-service discounts that lifted core inflation to 3.4 percent. The Bank of Korea responded with consecutive 25-basis-point rate hikes to 3.0 percent while retaining its 2.7 percent full-year 2026 inflation forecast amid stronger AI-led growth projections. With eight months of 2026 data averaging near 2.6 percent and September readings due soon, traders weigh persistent underlying pressures against expected base-effect moderation, producing closely matched probabilities around the 2.4–3.0 percent range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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