The July 2026 Core CPI YoY print of 2.5%, down from 2.6% in June and in line with consensus, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.38% as of late August, has anchored trader sentiment around a further modest decline for the August reading due September 11. Forecasts for a 0.24% m/m core increase, driven by softer goods prices and mixed shelter trends offset by firmer services components, support the heavy weighting on 2.4% and 2.3% outcomes. Persistent underlying pressures in supercore measures and potential upside from labor data or residual tariff effects create the observed clustering, while steady jobless claims and wage growth reinforce expectations of contained volatility in the final print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.4% 49%
2.3% 32%
2.5% 13%
2.2% 9.0%
$18,571 Vol.
$18,571 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤2.0%
<1%
2.1%
1%
2.2%
6%
2.3%
32%
2.4%
49%
2.5%
13%
2.6%
2%
2.7%
2%
2.8%
1%
≥2.9%
1%
2.4% 49%
2.3% 32%
2.5% 13%
2.2% 9.0%
$18,571 Vol.
$18,571 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤2.0%
$379 Vol.
<1%
2.1%
$367 Vol.
1%
2.2%
$528 Vol.
6%
2.3%
$2,002 Vol.
32%
2.4%
$9,512 Vol.
49%
2.5%
$2,384 Vol.
13%
2.6%
$921 Vol.
2%
2.7%
$1,070 Vol.
2%
2.8%
$926 Vol.
1%
≥2.9%
$482 Vol.
1%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The July 2026 Core CPI YoY print of 2.5%, down from 2.6% in June and in line with consensus, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.38% as of late August, has anchored trader sentiment around a further modest decline for the August reading due September 11. Forecasts for a 0.24% m/m core increase, driven by softer goods prices and mixed shelter trends offset by firmer services components, support the heavy weighting on 2.4% and 2.3% outcomes. Persistent underlying pressures in supercore measures and potential upside from labor data or residual tariff effects create the observed clustering, while steady jobless claims and wage growth reinforce expectations of contained volatility in the final print.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volume
$18,571End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The July 2026 Core CPI YoY print of 2.5%, down from 2.6% in June and in line with consensus, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.38% as of late August, has anchored trader sentiment around a further modest decline for the August reading due September 11. Forecasts for a 0.24% m/m core increase, driven by softer goods prices and mixed shelter trends offset by firmer services components, support the heavy weighting on 2.4% and 2.3% outcomes. Persistent underlying pressures in supercore measures and potential upside from labor data or residual tariff effects create the observed clustering, while steady jobless claims and wage growth reinforce expectations of contained volatility in the final print.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$18,571End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The July 2026 Core CPI YoY print of 2.5%, down from 2.6% in June and in line with consensus, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts near 2.38% as of late August, has anchored trader sentiment around a further modest decline for the August reading due September 11. Forecasts for a 0.24% m/m core increase, driven by softer goods prices and mixed shelter trends offset by firmer services components, support the heavy weighting on 2.4% and 2.3% outcomes. Persistent underlying pressures in supercore measures and potential upside from labor data or residual tariff effects create the observed clustering, while steady jobless claims and wage growth reinforce expectations of contained volatility in the final print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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