Recent rebounding energy costs, particularly oil prices near $87 per barrel, combined with base effects from last year's energy spikes and ongoing services price pressures, have shifted trader sentiment toward a firmer August 2026 PPI YoY reading. July's 4.7% year-over-year increase—below the 4.9% consensus—reflected sharp goods declines that are unlikely to repeat, supporting the 71.5% market-implied probability on 5.1% or higher. The Bureau of Labor Statistics report, scheduled for September 10 at 8:30 a.m. ET, will clarify whether upstream pipeline relief persists or reverses into final demand, with implications for core PCE and September FOMC rate expectations. Persistent core components and recent commodity rebounds represent the key swing factors priced into current odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5.1%+ 72%
4.9% 5.8%
5.0% 4.9%
4.8% 4.7%
$18,626 Vol.
$18,626 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
2%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
5%
4.9%
6%
5.0%
5%
5.1%+
72%
5.1%+ 72%
4.9% 5.8%
5.0% 4.9%
4.8% 4.7%
$18,626 Vol.
$18,626 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤4.2%
$683 Vol.
1%
4.3%
$308 Vol.
1%
4.4%
$372 Vol.
1%
4.5%
$392 Vol.
2%
4.6%
$331 Vol.
2%
4.7%
$678 Vol.
4%
4.8%
$548 Vol.
5%
4.9%
$767 Vol.
6%
5.0%
$2,800 Vol.
5%
5.1%+
$11,746 Vol.
72%
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent rebounding energy costs, particularly oil prices near $87 per barrel, combined with base effects from last year's energy spikes and ongoing services price pressures, have shifted trader sentiment toward a firmer August 2026 PPI YoY reading. July's 4.7% year-over-year increase—below the 4.9% consensus—reflected sharp goods declines that are unlikely to repeat, supporting the 71.5% market-implied probability on 5.1% or higher. The Bureau of Labor Statistics report, scheduled for September 10 at 8:30 a.m. ET, will clarify whether upstream pipeline relief persists or reverses into final demand, with implications for core PCE and September FOMC rate expectations. Persistent core components and recent commodity rebounds represent the key swing factors priced into current odds.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$18,626End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent rebounding energy costs, particularly oil prices near $87 per barrel, combined with base effects from last year's energy spikes and ongoing services price pressures, have shifted trader sentiment toward a firmer August 2026 PPI YoY reading. July's 4.7% year-over-year increase—below the 4.9% consensus—reflected sharp goods declines that are unlikely to repeat, supporting the 71.5% market-implied probability on 5.1% or higher. The Bureau of Labor Statistics report, scheduled for September 10 at 8:30 a.m. ET, will clarify whether upstream pipeline relief persists or reverses into final demand, with implications for core PCE and September FOMC rate expectations. Persistent core components and recent commodity rebounds represent the key swing factors priced into current odds.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$18,626End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rebounding energy costs, particularly oil prices near $87 per barrel, combined with base effects from last year's energy spikes and ongoing services price pressures, have shifted trader sentiment toward a firmer August 2026 PPI YoY reading. July's 4.7% year-over-year increase—below the 4.9% consensus—reflected sharp goods declines that are unlikely to repeat, supporting the 71.5% market-implied probability on 5.1% or higher. The Bureau of Labor Statistics report, scheduled for September 10 at 8:30 a.m. ET, will clarify whether upstream pipeline relief persists or reverses into final demand, with implications for core PCE and September FOMC rate expectations. Persistent core components and recent commodity rebounds represent the key swing factors priced into current odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions