Lin Kuo-chang maintains a modest lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate race due to his decades-long local legal practice, unified Democratic Progressive Party backing after prior factional divisions, and the county’s historical tilt toward the ruling party. Wu Tsung-hsien trails as the Kuomintang nominee following a joint KMT-Taiwan People’s Party primary poll, hampered by weaker personal ties to Yilan and the shadow of the previous KMT administration’s legal troubles, though opposition coordination offers a pathway to consolidation. Recent candidate registration closing on September 4 introduced several independents who fragment the field only marginally. Late-August internal polling showed Lin ahead by roughly 10 points among likely voters, leaving the contest sensitive to turnout, cross-party shifts among centrists, and any last-minute campaign developments before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLin Kuo-chang 56%
Wu Tsung-hsien 37%
Chen Wan-hui 3.9%
Chang Sheng-te 1.2%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Lin Kuo-chang
56%
Wu Tsung-hsien
37%
Chen Wan-hui
4%
Chang Sheng-te
1%
Lin Kuo-chang 56%
Wu Tsung-hsien 37%
Chen Wan-hui 3.9%
Chang Sheng-te 1.2%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Lin Kuo-chang
$2,270 Vol.
56%
Wu Tsung-hsien
$2,438 Vol.
37%
Chen Wan-hui
$394 Vol.
4%
Chang Sheng-te
$262 Vol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang maintains a modest lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate race due to his decades-long local legal practice, unified Democratic Progressive Party backing after prior factional divisions, and the county’s historical tilt toward the ruling party. Wu Tsung-hsien trails as the Kuomintang nominee following a joint KMT-Taiwan People’s Party primary poll, hampered by weaker personal ties to Yilan and the shadow of the previous KMT administration’s legal troubles, though opposition coordination offers a pathway to consolidation. Recent candidate registration closing on September 4 introduced several independents who fragment the field only marginally. Late-August internal polling showed Lin ahead by roughly 10 points among likely voters, leaving the contest sensitive to turnout, cross-party shifts among centrists, and any last-minute campaign developments before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Volume
$5,364End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang maintains a modest lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate race due to his decades-long local legal practice, unified Democratic Progressive Party backing after prior factional divisions, and the county’s historical tilt toward the ruling party. Wu Tsung-hsien trails as the Kuomintang nominee following a joint KMT-Taiwan People’s Party primary poll, hampered by weaker personal ties to Yilan and the shadow of the previous KMT administration’s legal troubles, though opposition coordination offers a pathway to consolidation. Recent candidate registration closing on September 4 introduced several independents who fragment the field only marginally. Late-August internal polling showed Lin ahead by roughly 10 points among likely voters, leaving the contest sensitive to turnout, cross-party shifts among centrists, and any last-minute campaign developments before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,364End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lin Kuo-chang maintains a modest lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026, Yilan County magistrate race due to his decades-long local legal practice, unified Democratic Progressive Party backing after prior factional divisions, and the county’s historical tilt toward the ruling party. Wu Tsung-hsien trails as the Kuomintang nominee following a joint KMT-Taiwan People’s Party primary poll, hampered by weaker personal ties to Yilan and the shadow of the previous KMT administration’s legal troubles, though opposition coordination offers a pathway to consolidation. Recent candidate registration closing on September 4 introduced several independents who fragment the field only marginally. Late-August internal polling showed Lin ahead by roughly 10 points among likely voters, leaving the contest sensitive to turnout, cross-party shifts among centrists, and any last-minute campaign developments before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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