Iran's next presidential election remains scheduled for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian's 2024 victory. The constitution requires a vote within 50 days only in cases of presidential vacancy, such as death or incapacity, with no such trigger evident in recent months. The 2026 transition in supreme leadership following Ali Khamenei's assassination introduced institutional continuity pressures but has not prompted adjustments to the presidential calendar. Trader consensus reflects the absence of snap-election catalysts or legislative moves to accelerate the timeline, keeping implied probabilities low absent unforeseen events like health developments or major political upheaval within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Iran hold a presidential election by...?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
$767,412 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
15%
$767,412 Vol.
December 31
$199 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's next presidential election remains scheduled for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian's 2024 victory. The constitution requires a vote within 50 days only in cases of presidential vacancy, such as death or incapacity, with no such trigger evident in recent months. The 2026 transition in supreme leadership following Ali Khamenei's assassination introduced institutional continuity pressures but has not prompted adjustments to the presidential calendar. Trader consensus reflects the absence of snap-election catalysts or legislative moves to accelerate the timeline, keeping implied probabilities low absent unforeseen events like health developments or major political upheaval within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$767,412End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's next presidential election remains scheduled for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian's 2024 victory. The constitution requires a vote within 50 days only in cases of presidential vacancy, such as death or incapacity, with no such trigger evident in recent months. The 2026 transition in supreme leadership following Ali Khamenei's assassination introduced institutional continuity pressures but has not prompted adjustments to the presidential calendar. Trader consensus reflects the absence of snap-election catalysts or legislative moves to accelerate the timeline, keeping implied probabilities low absent unforeseen events like health developments or major political upheaval within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$767,412End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's next presidential election remains scheduled for 2028 under the four-year term established after Masoud Pezeshkian's 2024 victory. The constitution requires a vote within 50 days only in cases of presidential vacancy, such as death or incapacity, with no such trigger evident in recent months. The 2026 transition in supreme leadership following Ali Khamenei's assassination introduced institutional continuity pressures but has not prompted adjustments to the presidential calendar. Trader consensus reflects the absence of snap-election catalysts or legislative moves to accelerate the timeline, keeping implied probabilities low absent unforeseen events like health developments or major political upheaval within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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