Ongoing Middle East tensions linked to Iran, Hezbollah operations, and Israel-Lebanon border clashes have shaped security assessments for the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. In February 2026, the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and eligible family members as a precautionary measure amid anticipated regional developments, while keeping the embassy operational with essential staff. Subsequent travel advisories urged U.S. citizens to depart and suspended routine consular services. By late August 2026, internal planning shifted toward restoring diplomats, with Beirut slated as the first post to receive returning personnel under adjusted staffing levels. A September 1 security alert noted complex conditions and potential disruptions but confirmed the embassy remains open for routine services. A June framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon and ongoing diplomatic coordination represent de-escalation efforts that could influence future posture decisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$119,085 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
8%
$119,085 Vol.
December 31
$24,983 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing Middle East tensions linked to Iran, Hezbollah operations, and Israel-Lebanon border clashes have shaped security assessments for the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. In February 2026, the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and eligible family members as a precautionary measure amid anticipated regional developments, while keeping the embassy operational with essential staff. Subsequent travel advisories urged U.S. citizens to depart and suspended routine consular services. By late August 2026, internal planning shifted toward restoring diplomats, with Beirut slated as the first post to receive returning personnel under adjusted staffing levels. A September 1 security alert noted complex conditions and potential disruptions but confirmed the embassy remains open for routine services. A June framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon and ongoing diplomatic coordination represent de-escalation efforts that could influence future posture decisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$119,085End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing Middle East tensions linked to Iran, Hezbollah operations, and Israel-Lebanon border clashes have shaped security assessments for the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. In February 2026, the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and eligible family members as a precautionary measure amid anticipated regional developments, while keeping the embassy operational with essential staff. Subsequent travel advisories urged U.S. citizens to depart and suspended routine consular services. By late August 2026, internal planning shifted toward restoring diplomats, with Beirut slated as the first post to receive returning personnel under adjusted staffing levels. A September 1 security alert noted complex conditions and potential disruptions but confirmed the embassy remains open for routine services. A June framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon and ongoing diplomatic coordination represent de-escalation efforts that could influence future posture decisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$119,085End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Middle East tensions linked to Iran, Hezbollah operations, and Israel-Lebanon border clashes have shaped security assessments for the U.S. Embassy in Beirut. In February 2026, the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and eligible family members as a precautionary measure amid anticipated regional developments, while keeping the embassy operational with essential staff. Subsequent travel advisories urged U.S. citizens to depart and suspended routine consular services. By late August 2026, internal planning shifted toward restoring diplomats, with Beirut slated as the first post to receive returning personnel under adjusted staffing levels. A September 1 security alert noted complex conditions and potential disruptions but confirmed the embassy remains open for routine services. A June framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon and ongoing diplomatic coordination represent de-escalation efforts that could influence future posture decisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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