Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat centered on Madison, where incumbent Mark Pocan won renomination in the August 2026 primary. The absence of any Republican candidate filing by the June deadline has left the general election on November 3 without a major-party opponent, reinforcing trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. Historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, combined with the district's consistent partisan tilt, underpin the current pricing. Potential shifts would require an unforeseen independent surge, a late write-in effort gaining traction, or a significant development altering Pocan's candidacy before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$102,238 Vol.
$102,238 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$102,238 Vol.
$102,238 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$62,131 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$40,107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat centered on Madison, where incumbent Mark Pocan won renomination in the August 2026 primary. The absence of any Republican candidate filing by the June deadline has left the general election on November 3 without a major-party opponent, reinforcing trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. Historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, combined with the district's consistent partisan tilt, underpin the current pricing. Potential shifts would require an unforeseen independent surge, a late write-in effort gaining traction, or a significant development altering Pocan's candidacy before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$102,238End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat centered on Madison, where incumbent Mark Pocan won renomination in the August 2026 primary. The absence of any Republican candidate filing by the June deadline has left the general election on November 3 without a major-party opponent, reinforcing trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. Historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, combined with the district's consistent partisan tilt, underpin the current pricing. Potential shifts would require an unforeseen independent surge, a late write-in effort gaining traction, or a significant development altering Pocan's candidacy before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$102,238End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat centered on Madison, where incumbent Mark Pocan won renomination in the August 2026 primary. The absence of any Republican candidate filing by the June deadline has left the general election on November 3 without a major-party opponent, reinforcing trader consensus on a Democratic outcome. Historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, combined with the district's consistent partisan tilt, underpin the current pricing. Potential shifts would require an unforeseen independent surge, a late write-in effort gaining traction, or a significant development altering Pocan's candidacy before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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