Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election features two competing blocs: the centre-right Tidö parties (Moderates, Sweden Democrats, Christian Democrats, Liberals) seeking to retain power with Sweden Democrats entering cabinet for the first time, and the centre-left opposition (Social Democrats, Left, Greens, Centre) aiming to return Magdalena Andersson as prime minister. Recent polling shows the race tightening sharply in the final week, with the Liberals hovering near or below the 4% threshold and the Centre Party positioned as a potential swing player in coalition talks. Key drivers include voter concerns over the economy, crime, and immigration alongside bloc arithmetic that could produce minority governments or extended negotiations after results are certified. Post-election government formation will hinge on seat totals, party threshold crossings, and bargaining among the eight parliamentary parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,062 Vol.
Jan 31, 2027
Centre Party (C)
78%
Green Party (MP)
78%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
77%
Left Party (V)
43%
Liberals (L)
40%
Moderate Party (M)
24%
Christian Democrats (KD)
21%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
22%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
$21,062 Vol.
Centre Party (C)
$1,354 Vol.
78%
Green Party (MP)
$1,450 Vol.
78%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$4,243 Vol.
77%
Left Party (V)
$1,711 Vol.
43%
Liberals (L)
$2,443 Vol.
40%
Moderate Party (M)
$511 Vol.
24%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,846 Vol.
21%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$6,292 Vol.
22%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$214 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election features two competing blocs: the centre-right Tidö parties (Moderates, Sweden Democrats, Christian Democrats, Liberals) seeking to retain power with Sweden Democrats entering cabinet for the first time, and the centre-left opposition (Social Democrats, Left, Greens, Centre) aiming to return Magdalena Andersson as prime minister. Recent polling shows the race tightening sharply in the final week, with the Liberals hovering near or below the 4% threshold and the Centre Party positioned as a potential swing player in coalition talks. Key drivers include voter concerns over the economy, crime, and immigration alongside bloc arithmetic that could produce minority governments or extended negotiations after results are certified. Post-election government formation will hinge on seat totals, party threshold crossings, and bargaining among the eight parliamentary parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Volume
$21,062End Date
Jan 31, 2027Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election features two competing blocs: the centre-right Tidö parties (Moderates, Sweden Democrats, Christian Democrats, Liberals) seeking to retain power with Sweden Democrats entering cabinet for the first time, and the centre-left opposition (Social Democrats, Left, Greens, Centre) aiming to return Magdalena Andersson as prime minister. Recent polling shows the race tightening sharply in the final week, with the Liberals hovering near or below the 4% threshold and the Centre Party positioned as a potential swing player in coalition talks. Key drivers include voter concerns over the economy, crime, and immigration alongside bloc arithmetic that could produce minority governments or extended negotiations after results are certified. Post-election government formation will hinge on seat totals, party threshold crossings, and bargaining among the eight parliamentary parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Volume
$21,062End Date
Jan 31, 2027Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election features two competing blocs: the centre-right Tidö parties (Moderates, Sweden Democrats, Christian Democrats, Liberals) seeking to retain power with Sweden Democrats entering cabinet for the first time, and the centre-left opposition (Social Democrats, Left, Greens, Centre) aiming to return Magdalena Andersson as prime minister. Recent polling shows the race tightening sharply in the final week, with the Liberals hovering near or below the 4% threshold and the Centre Party positioned as a potential swing player in coalition talks. Key drivers include voter concerns over the economy, crime, and immigration alongside bloc arithmetic that could produce minority governments or extended negotiations after results are certified. Post-election government formation will hinge on seat totals, party threshold crossings, and bargaining among the eight parliamentary parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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