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icon for Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Ken Sim 43%

Pete Fry 33.5%

Kareem Allam 11%

William Azaroff 4.9%

Polymarket

$183,145 Vol.

Ken Sim 43%

Pete Fry 33.5%

Kareem Allam 11%

William Azaroff 4.9%

Polymarket

$183,145 Vol.

icon for Ken Sim

Ken Sim

$33,598 Vol.

43%

icon for Pete Fry

Pete Fry

$31,578 Vol.

34%

icon for Kareem Allam

Kareem Allam

$66,309 Vol.

11%

icon for William Azaroff

William Azaroff

$16,862 Vol.

5%

icon for Colleen Hardwick

Colleen Hardwick

$5,084 Vol.

3%

icon for John Coupar

John Coupar

$5,362 Vol.

2%

icon for Kirk LaPointe

Kirk LaPointe

$3,652 Vol.

1%

icon for Stephanie Allen

Stephanie Allen

$982 Vol.

1%

icon for Amanda Burrows

Amanda Burrows

$2,983 Vol.

1%

icon for Rebecca Bligh

Rebecca Bligh

$4,377 Vol.

1%

icon for Sean Orr

Sean Orr

$3,086 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Louis

Tim Louis

$6,491 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Harding

Fred Harding

$2,779 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.The fragmented progressive opposition and high undecided voter share keep Vancouver’s October 17 mayoral contest competitive, with incumbent Ken Sim holding a narrow edge in trader pricing. Recent polls show Sim ahead among decided voters and homeowners while Pete Fry leads or ties among renters and in raw support, reflecting demographic divides and Sim’s underwater approval ratings. COPE’s Stephanie Allen withdrew in early September to reduce left-of-centre splitting, yet Green candidate Fry and OneCity’s William Azaroff remain in the race ahead of the September 11 nomination deadline, with talks on consolidation still unresolved. This dynamic, plus Kareem Allam drawing centrist support, sustains the tight implied probabilities and leaves room for late shifts if one challenger consolidates the anti-incumbent vote or turnout patterns favor homeowners.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$183,145
End Date
Oct 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.The fragmented progressive opposition and high undecided voter share keep Vancouver’s October 17 mayoral contest competitive, with incumbent Ken Sim holding a narrow edge in trader pricing. Recent polls show Sim ahead among decided voters and homeowners while Pete Fry leads or ties among renters and in raw support, reflecting demographic divides and Sim’s underwater approval ratings. COPE’s Stephanie Allen withdrew in early September to reduce left-of-centre splitting, yet Green candidate Fry and OneCity’s William Azaroff remain in the race ahead of the September 11 nomination deadline, with talks on consolidation still unresolved. This dynamic, plus Kareem Allam drawing centrist support, sustains the tight implied probabilities and leaves room for late shifts if one challenger consolidates the anti-incumbent vote or turnout patterns favor homeowners.

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Volume
$183,145
End Date
Oct 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ken Sim" at 43%, followed by "Pete Fry" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $183.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" is "Ken Sim" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pete Fry" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.