Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured renomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. The seat’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide contests underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican hold. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments through early September reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, significant health event affecting Jackson, or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome, though such factors remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTX-13 House Election Winner
TX-13 House Election Winner
$18,978 Vol.
$18,978 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$18,978 Vol.
$18,978 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$3,466 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$15,513 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured renomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. The seat’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide contests underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican hold. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments through early September reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, significant health event affecting Jackson, or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome, though such factors remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$18,978End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured renomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. The seat’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide contests underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican hold. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments through early September reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, significant health event affecting Jackson, or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome, though such factors remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,978End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured renomination with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. The seat’s R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and statewide contests underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican hold. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments through early September reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, significant health event affecting Jackson, or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome, though such factors remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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