Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions, including a near-total blackout from January 8 to late May 2026 lasting 88 days, in response to anti-government protests triggered by economic collapse and currency issues, as well as during the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes. Monitoring data from NetBlocks, Cloudflare, and IODA showed connectivity dropping to 1-4% of normal levels, with mobile, landline, and even satellite services affected alongside the National Information Network. Partial restoration occurred in late May under President Masoud Pezeshkian’s directive, though service remains slow with tiered access, whitelisting for favored users, blocked social platforms, and continued economic costs exceeding $1.8 billion. Trader sentiment on future total blackouts centers on risks of renewed protests, escalation in regional conflicts, or shifts toward a permanent hybrid control model emphasizing the domestic intranet over open international access.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$245,398 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
7%
December 31
28%
$245,398 Vol.
September 30
$4,551 Vol.
7%
December 31
$11,396 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions, including a near-total blackout from January 8 to late May 2026 lasting 88 days, in response to anti-government protests triggered by economic collapse and currency issues, as well as during the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes. Monitoring data from NetBlocks, Cloudflare, and IODA showed connectivity dropping to 1-4% of normal levels, with mobile, landline, and even satellite services affected alongside the National Information Network. Partial restoration occurred in late May under President Masoud Pezeshkian’s directive, though service remains slow with tiered access, whitelisting for favored users, blocked social platforms, and continued economic costs exceeding $1.8 billion. Trader sentiment on future total blackouts centers on risks of renewed protests, escalation in regional conflicts, or shifts toward a permanent hybrid control model emphasizing the domestic intranet over open international access.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$245,398End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions, including a near-total blackout from January 8 to late May 2026 lasting 88 days, in response to anti-government protests triggered by economic collapse and currency issues, as well as during the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes. Monitoring data from NetBlocks, Cloudflare, and IODA showed connectivity dropping to 1-4% of normal levels, with mobile, landline, and even satellite services affected alongside the National Information Network. Partial restoration occurred in late May under President Masoud Pezeshkian’s directive, though service remains slow with tiered access, whitelisting for favored users, blocked social platforms, and continued economic costs exceeding $1.8 billion. Trader sentiment on future total blackouts centers on risks of renewed protests, escalation in regional conflicts, or shifts toward a permanent hybrid control model emphasizing the domestic intranet over open international access.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$245,398End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions, including a near-total blackout from January 8 to late May 2026 lasting 88 days, in response to anti-government protests triggered by economic collapse and currency issues, as well as during the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes. Monitoring data from NetBlocks, Cloudflare, and IODA showed connectivity dropping to 1-4% of normal levels, with mobile, landline, and even satellite services affected alongside the National Information Network. Partial restoration occurred in late May under President Masoud Pezeshkian’s directive, though service remains slow with tiered access, whitelisting for favored users, blocked social platforms, and continued economic costs exceeding $1.8 billion. Trader sentiment on future total blackouts centers on risks of renewed protests, escalation in regional conflicts, or shifts toward a permanent hybrid control model emphasizing the domestic intranet over open international access.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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