Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence attributed to hospitalization and treatment for depression, during which he missed more than 100 votes. In his remarks, the New Jersey Republican stated he felt healthier and stronger, expressed commitment to resuming his duties, and participated in a campaign fundraiser the same evening. He had already secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the June primary for the 7th district and received an endorsement from President Trump. No subsequent announcements or reports have indicated plans to resign, accept another office, or otherwise vacate the seat before the end of the current term in January 2027. These developments, combined with his active re-election campaign against Democrat Rebecca Bennett, underpin trader expectations that he will complete his term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated29% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 3, 2027
29% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 3, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence attributed to hospitalization and treatment for depression, during which he missed more than 100 votes. In his remarks, the New Jersey Republican stated he felt healthier and stronger, expressed commitment to resuming his duties, and participated in a campaign fundraiser the same evening. He had already secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the June primary for the 7th district and received an endorsement from President Trump. No subsequent announcements or reports have indicated plans to resign, accept another office, or otherwise vacate the seat before the end of the current term in January 2027. These developments, combined with his active re-election campaign against Democrat Rebecca Bennett, underpin trader expectations that he will complete his term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Volume
$69End Date
Jan 3, 2027Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence attributed to hospitalization and treatment for depression, during which he missed more than 100 votes. In his remarks, the New Jersey Republican stated he felt healthier and stronger, expressed commitment to resuming his duties, and participated in a campaign fundraiser the same evening. He had already secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the June primary for the 7th district and received an endorsement from President Trump. No subsequent announcements or reports have indicated plans to resign, accept another office, or otherwise vacate the seat before the end of the current term in January 2027. These developments, combined with his active re-election campaign against Democrat Rebecca Bennett, underpin trader expectations that he will complete his term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$69End Date
Jan 3, 2027Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence attributed to hospitalization and treatment for depression, during which he missed more than 100 votes. In his remarks, the New Jersey Republican stated he felt healthier and stronger, expressed commitment to resuming his duties, and participated in a campaign fundraiser the same evening. He had already secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the June primary for the 7th district and received an endorsement from President Trump. No subsequent announcements or reports have indicated plans to resign, accept another office, or otherwise vacate the seat before the end of the current term in January 2027. These developments, combined with his active re-election campaign against Democrat Rebecca Bennett, underpin trader expectations that he will complete his term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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