The Tallahassee mayoral race heads into a November 3 runoff between Jeremy Matlow and Loranne Ausley after the August 18 primary produced no majority winner, with Matlow taking 36% to Ausley's 34% and Daryl Parks at 25%. Traders price the contest near even because both candidates bring strong name recognition and Democratic bases in a nonpartisan race, while recent campaign finance reports show Matlow outraising Ausley post-primary and holding more cash on hand. Parks's endorsement of Ausley and her prior legislative experience provide one path to consolidation of moderate and older voters, whereas Matlow's primary momentum, small-donor network, and positioning as a progressive alternative could mobilize younger and reform-minded turnout. The narrow gap leaves room for late shifts driven by turnout differences, additional endorsements, or targeted advertising on local issues such as data centers and city commission dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLoranne Ausley 47%
Daryl Parks <1%
Michael Foust <1%
Al Lawson <1%
$141,996 Vol.
$141,996 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Loranne Ausley
47%
Daryl Parks
<1%
Michael Foust
<1%
Al Lawson
<1%
Jeremy Matlow
60%
Loranne Ausley 47%
Daryl Parks <1%
Michael Foust <1%
Al Lawson <1%
$141,996 Vol.
$141,996 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Loranne Ausley
$91,112 Vol.
47%
Daryl Parks
$11,076 Vol.
<1%
Michael Foust
$5,138 Vol.
<1%
Al Lawson
$22,258 Vol.
<1%
Jeremy Matlow
$12,412 Vol.
60%
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.The Tallahassee mayoral race heads into a November 3 runoff between Jeremy Matlow and Loranne Ausley after the August 18 primary produced no majority winner, with Matlow taking 36% to Ausley's 34% and Daryl Parks at 25%. Traders price the contest near even because both candidates bring strong name recognition and Democratic bases in a nonpartisan race, while recent campaign finance reports show Matlow outraising Ausley post-primary and holding more cash on hand. Parks's endorsement of Ausley and her prior legislative experience provide one path to consolidation of moderate and older voters, whereas Matlow's primary momentum, small-donor network, and positioning as a progressive alternative could mobilize younger and reform-minded turnout. The narrow gap leaves room for late shifts driven by turnout differences, additional endorsements, or targeted advertising on local issues such as data centers and city commission dynamics.
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volume
$141,996End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.The Tallahassee mayoral race heads into a November 3 runoff between Jeremy Matlow and Loranne Ausley after the August 18 primary produced no majority winner, with Matlow taking 36% to Ausley's 34% and Daryl Parks at 25%. Traders price the contest near even because both candidates bring strong name recognition and Democratic bases in a nonpartisan race, while recent campaign finance reports show Matlow outraising Ausley post-primary and holding more cash on hand. Parks's endorsement of Ausley and her prior legislative experience provide one path to consolidation of moderate and older voters, whereas Matlow's primary momentum, small-donor network, and positioning as a progressive alternative could mobilize younger and reform-minded turnout. The narrow gap leaves room for late shifts driven by turnout differences, additional endorsements, or targeted advertising on local issues such as data centers and city commission dynamics.
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
Volume
$141,996End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Tallahassee mayoral race heads into a November 3 runoff between Jeremy Matlow and Loranne Ausley after the August 18 primary produced no majority winner, with Matlow taking 36% to Ausley's 34% and Daryl Parks at 25%. Traders price the contest near even because both candidates bring strong name recognition and Democratic bases in a nonpartisan race, while recent campaign finance reports show Matlow outraising Ausley post-primary and holding more cash on hand. Parks's endorsement of Ausley and her prior legislative experience provide one path to consolidation of moderate and older voters, whereas Matlow's primary momentum, small-donor network, and positioning as a progressive alternative could mobilize younger and reform-minded turnout. The narrow gap leaves room for late shifts driven by turnout differences, additional endorsements, or targeted advertising on local issues such as data centers and city commission dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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