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icon for Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

icon for Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an 93%

Puma Shen 7.5%

Kuo Hsi <1%

Polymarket

$18,689 Vol.

Chiang Wan-an 93%

Puma Shen 7.5%

Kuo Hsi <1%

Polymarket

$18,689 Vol.

icon for Chiang Wan-an

Chiang Wan-an

$13,794 Vol.

93%

icon for Puma Shen

Puma Shen

$4,422 Vol.

8%

icon for Kuo Hsi

Kuo Hsi

$473 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an holds a commanding lead in the Taipei mayoral race due to his status as a popular KMT incumbent with strong name recognition and consistent polling advantages in a city that has favored blue-leaning candidates in recent cycles. Candidate registration closed in early September with limited serious opposition, primarily from DPP legislator Puma Shen, while surveys from mid-2026 showed Chiang ahead by double digits. His administration's focus on infrastructure, talent retention, and local governance has sustained approval near 65 percent. A late surge in DPP turnout, a highly effective debate format, or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap before the November 28 vote, though structural and momentum factors currently favor the incumbent's position.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$18,689
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an holds a commanding lead in the Taipei mayoral race due to his status as a popular KMT incumbent with strong name recognition and consistent polling advantages in a city that has favored blue-leaning candidates in recent cycles. Candidate registration closed in early September with limited serious opposition, primarily from DPP legislator Puma Shen, while surveys from mid-2026 showed Chiang ahead by double digits. His administration's focus on infrastructure, talent retention, and local governance has sustained approval near 65 percent. A late surge in DPP turnout, a highly effective debate format, or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap before the November 28 vote, though structural and momentum factors currently favor the incumbent's position.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$18,689
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Taipei Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chiang Wan-an" at 93%, followed by "Puma Shen" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Taipei Mayor Election Winner" has generated $18.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Taipei Mayor Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taipei Mayor Election Winner" is "Chiang Wan-an" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Puma Shen" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taipei Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.