Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates as the clear top three parties ahead of the September 13 election, leaving the Left Party, Centre Party, Green Party, and Christian Democrats clustered in the 6-8% range and competing directly for fifth place. The Left, Centre, and Greens hold the highest implied probabilities for that slot due to their consistent mid-tier support and limited recent movement, while the Christian Democrats trail slightly amid bloc-level volatility. Tightening margins between the centre-left and right-wing coalitions, driven by gains for the Moderates and Sweden Democrats in late August surveys, have not significantly altered smaller-party rankings. The Liberals remain well below the 4% threshold, reducing their chances of influencing placement. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among swing voters or unexpected momentum on cost-of-living or security issues could still reorder the mid-pack before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLeft Party (V) 30%
Centre Party (C) 29%
Green Party (MP) 29%
Christian Democrats (KD) 14%
$28,874 Vol.
$28,874 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Left Party (V)
30%
Centre Party (C)
29%
Green Party (MP)
29%
Christian Democrats (KD)
14%
Moderate Party (M)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
<1%
Left Party (V) 30%
Centre Party (C) 29%
Green Party (MP) 29%
Christian Democrats (KD) 14%
$28,874 Vol.
$28,874 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Left Party (V)
$5,747 Vol.
30%
Centre Party (C)
$7,218 Vol.
29%
Green Party (MP)
$6,962 Vol.
29%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$4,645 Vol.
14%
Moderate Party (M)
$1,228 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$556 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$765 Vol.
<1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$1,107 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$646 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates as the clear top three parties ahead of the September 13 election, leaving the Left Party, Centre Party, Green Party, and Christian Democrats clustered in the 6-8% range and competing directly for fifth place. The Left, Centre, and Greens hold the highest implied probabilities for that slot due to their consistent mid-tier support and limited recent movement, while the Christian Democrats trail slightly amid bloc-level volatility. Tightening margins between the centre-left and right-wing coalitions, driven by gains for the Moderates and Sweden Democrats in late August surveys, have not significantly altered smaller-party rankings. The Liberals remain well below the 4% threshold, reducing their chances of influencing placement. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among swing voters or unexpected momentum on cost-of-living or security issues could still reorder the mid-pack before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ET
Volume
$28,874End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates as the clear top three parties ahead of the September 13 election, leaving the Left Party, Centre Party, Green Party, and Christian Democrats clustered in the 6-8% range and competing directly for fifth place. The Left, Centre, and Greens hold the highest implied probabilities for that slot due to their consistent mid-tier support and limited recent movement, while the Christian Democrats trail slightly amid bloc-level volatility. Tightening margins between the centre-left and right-wing coalitions, driven by gains for the Moderates and Sweden Democrats in late August surveys, have not significantly altered smaller-party rankings. The Liberals remain well below the 4% threshold, reducing their chances of influencing placement. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among swing voters or unexpected momentum on cost-of-living or security issues could still reorder the mid-pack before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$28,874End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates as the clear top three parties ahead of the September 13 election, leaving the Left Party, Centre Party, Green Party, and Christian Democrats clustered in the 6-8% range and competing directly for fifth place. The Left, Centre, and Greens hold the highest implied probabilities for that slot due to their consistent mid-tier support and limited recent movement, while the Christian Democrats trail slightly amid bloc-level volatility. Tightening margins between the centre-left and right-wing coalitions, driven by gains for the Moderates and Sweden Democrats in late August surveys, have not significantly altered smaller-party rankings. The Liberals remain well below the 4% threshold, reducing their chances of influencing placement. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among swing voters or unexpected momentum on cost-of-living or security issues could still reorder the mid-pack before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions