Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, positioning the Moderate Party as the clear third-place contender with strong trader consensus. Consistent survey results from major pollsters through late August show the Moderates holding steady around 17 percent, ahead of the Left Party, Centre Party, Greens, and Christian Democrats, which cluster lower and face greater volatility near the four-percent threshold. The narrowing gap between the main blocs has not altered this ordering, as the Moderates maintain a buffer over smaller parties despite modest recent gains by the government-aligned side. With the September 13 election days away, limited remaining campaign time reduces the scope for late shifts that could reorder the top three.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 80%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 20%
Left Party (V) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$69,681 Vol.
$69,681 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
20%
Moderate Party (M)
80%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 80%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 20%
Left Party (V) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$69,681 Vol.
$69,681 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$5,498 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$12,689 Vol.
20%
Moderate Party (M)
$26,793 Vol.
80%
Centre Party (C)
$4,842 Vol.
1%
Left Party (V)
$6,104 Vol.
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,569 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$4,570 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$3,106 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$3,511 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, positioning the Moderate Party as the clear third-place contender with strong trader consensus. Consistent survey results from major pollsters through late August show the Moderates holding steady around 17 percent, ahead of the Left Party, Centre Party, Greens, and Christian Democrats, which cluster lower and face greater volatility near the four-percent threshold. The narrowing gap between the main blocs has not altered this ordering, as the Moderates maintain a buffer over smaller parties despite modest recent gains by the government-aligned side. With the September 13 election days away, limited remaining campaign time reduces the scope for late shifts that could reorder the top three.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$69,681End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, positioning the Moderate Party as the clear third-place contender with strong trader consensus. Consistent survey results from major pollsters through late August show the Moderates holding steady around 17 percent, ahead of the Left Party, Centre Party, Greens, and Christian Democrats, which cluster lower and face greater volatility near the four-percent threshold. The narrowing gap between the main blocs has not altered this ordering, as the Moderates maintain a buffer over smaller parties despite modest recent gains by the government-aligned side. With the September 13 election days away, limited remaining campaign time reduces the scope for late shifts that could reorder the top three.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$69,681End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, positioning the Moderate Party as the clear third-place contender with strong trader consensus. Consistent survey results from major pollsters through late August show the Moderates holding steady around 17 percent, ahead of the Left Party, Centre Party, Greens, and Christian Democrats, which cluster lower and face greater volatility near the four-percent threshold. The narrowing gap between the main blocs has not altered this ordering, as the Moderates maintain a buffer over smaller parties despite modest recent gains by the government-aligned side. With the September 13 election days away, limited remaining campaign time reduces the scope for late shifts that could reorder the top three.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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