Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data valid September 1, 2026, show exceptional (D4) drought covering 1.4% of the contiguous United States amid broader coverage of 49.5% in moderate or worse conditions. Flash drought intensification in the South-Central states, combined with persistent dryness and above-normal temperatures along the North Dakota–South Dakota–Minnesota border and parts of the Northeast, has expanded D3–D4 areas in recent weeks, while scattered improvements occurred in Colorado and Wyoming. The National Drought Mitigation Center’s weekly assessment incorporates precipitation deficits, soil moisture percentiles, and streamflow observations against seasonal baselines. The next map, covering the week of September 8, will be released September 10 and incorporate any early-month rainfall; short-term forecasts favor continued dry conditions across the central and southern Plains with limited relief signals through mid-September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedExceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026

Alabama
4%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
95%

California
5%

Colorado
96%

Delaware
39%

Florida
6%

Georgia
9%

Idaho
96%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
6%

Iowa
8%

Kansas
6%

Kentucky
4%

Louisiana
5%

Maryland
3%

Minnesota
38%

Mississippi
93%

Missouri
6%

Montana
6%

Nebraska
94%

Nevada
94%

New Jersey
4%

New Mexico
94%

North Carolina
90%

North Dakota
8%

Ohio
6%

Oklahoma
96%

Oregon
95%

Pennsylvania
7%

South Carolina
8%

South Dakota
5%

Tennessee
3%

Texas
97%

Utah
92%

Virginia
7%

Washington
8%

West Virginia
2%

Wisconsin
7%

Wyoming
8%
$2,406 Vol.

Alabama
4%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
95%

California
5%

Colorado
96%

Delaware
39%

Florida
6%

Georgia
9%

Idaho
96%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
6%

Iowa
8%

Kansas
6%

Kentucky
4%

Louisiana
5%

Maryland
3%

Minnesota
38%

Mississippi
93%

Missouri
6%

Montana
6%

Nebraska
94%

Nevada
94%

New Jersey
4%

New Mexico
94%

North Carolina
90%

North Dakota
8%

Ohio
6%

Oklahoma
96%

Oregon
95%

Pennsylvania
7%

South Carolina
8%

South Dakota
5%

Tennessee
3%

Texas
97%

Utah
92%

Virginia
7%

Washington
8%

West Virginia
2%

Wisconsin
7%

Wyoming
8%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 8, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 8, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Resolution Source
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data valid September 1, 2026, show exceptional (D4) drought covering 1.4% of the contiguous United States amid broader coverage of 49.5% in moderate or worse conditions. Flash drought intensification in the South-Central states, combined with persistent dryness and above-normal temperatures along the North Dakota–South Dakota–Minnesota border and parts of the Northeast, has expanded D3–D4 areas in recent weeks, while scattered improvements occurred in Colorado and Wyoming. The National Drought Mitigation Center’s weekly assessment incorporates precipitation deficits, soil moisture percentiles, and streamflow observations against seasonal baselines. The next map, covering the week of September 8, will be released September 10 and incorporate any early-month rainfall; short-term forecasts favor continued dry conditions across the central and southern Plains with limited relief signals through mid-September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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