AfD maintains a commanding lead in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election due to sustained polling dominance, with recent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap placing the party at 41-43 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent and trailing parties below 13 percent. This reflects a roughly doubled share from its 2021 result amid voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. The market's near-certain pricing for an AfD plurality aligns with the absence of meaningful late movement in vote intention data. An upset remains possible only in the event of substantial polling error driven by undecided voters or turnout differentials, though no such indicators have emerged in the final days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 99.8%
CDU <1%
The Left <1%
BSW <1%
$941,101 Vol.
$941,101 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
AfD
100%
CDU
<1%
The Left
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
SPD
<1%
The Greens
<1%
AfD 99.8%
CDU <1%
The Left <1%
BSW <1%
$941,101 Vol.
$941,101 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
AfD
$128,525 Vol.
100%
CDU
$520,336 Vol.
<1%
The Left
$47,106 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$36,803 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$27,385 Vol.
<1%
SPD
$124,095 Vol.
<1%
The Greens
$56,851 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election due to sustained polling dominance, with recent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap placing the party at 41-43 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent and trailing parties below 13 percent. This reflects a roughly doubled share from its 2021 result amid voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. The market's near-certain pricing for an AfD plurality aligns with the absence of meaningful late movement in vote intention data. An upset remains possible only in the event of substantial polling error driven by undecided voters or turnout differentials, though no such indicators have emerged in the final days.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$941,101End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election due to sustained polling dominance, with recent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap placing the party at 41-43 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent and trailing parties below 13 percent. This reflects a roughly doubled share from its 2021 result amid voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. The market's near-certain pricing for an AfD plurality aligns with the absence of meaningful late movement in vote intention data. An upset remains possible only in the event of substantial polling error driven by undecided voters or turnout differentials, though no such indicators have emerged in the final days.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$941,101End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a commanding lead in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election due to sustained polling dominance, with recent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap placing the party at 41-43 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent and trailing parties below 13 percent. This reflects a roughly doubled share from its 2021 result amid voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. The market's near-certain pricing for an AfD plurality aligns with the absence of meaningful late movement in vote intention data. An upset remains possible only in the event of substantial polling error driven by undecided voters or turnout differentials, though no such indicators have emerged in the final days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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