Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a commanding lead of roughly 18–21 points over the CDU ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, placing the Christian Democrats firmly in second while the Left trails further back at 11–12 percent. Incumbent Minister President Sven Schulze’s CDU has seen modest erosion in support compared with prior cycles, yet no other party has closed the gap enough to contest the runner-up position in projections. The five-percent threshold dynamics further reinforce this hierarchy, with smaller parties such as the FDP and BSW at risk of exclusion. A narrow CDU second-place finish could still be disrupted by unusually high turnout favoring smaller lists or an unforeseen late shift in voter preferences within the final 24 hours, though current evidence indicates limited scope for such movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCDU 99.6%
AfD <1%
The Left <1%
SPD <1%
$143,832 Vol.
$143,832 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
CDU
100%
AfD
<1%
The Left
<1%
SPD
<1%
The Greens
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 99.6%
AfD <1%
The Left <1%
SPD <1%
$143,832 Vol.
$143,832 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
CDU
$91,572 Vol.
100%
AfD
$5,516 Vol.
<1%
The Left
$9,076 Vol.
<1%
SPD
$25,527 Vol.
<1%
The Greens
$4,033 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$4,643 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$3,465 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a commanding lead of roughly 18–21 points over the CDU ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, placing the Christian Democrats firmly in second while the Left trails further back at 11–12 percent. Incumbent Minister President Sven Schulze’s CDU has seen modest erosion in support compared with prior cycles, yet no other party has closed the gap enough to contest the runner-up position in projections. The five-percent threshold dynamics further reinforce this hierarchy, with smaller parties such as the FDP and BSW at risk of exclusion. A narrow CDU second-place finish could still be disrupted by unusually high turnout favoring smaller lists or an unforeseen late shift in voter preferences within the final 24 hours, though current evidence indicates limited scope for such movement.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Volume
$143,832End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a commanding lead of roughly 18–21 points over the CDU ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, placing the Christian Democrats firmly in second while the Left trails further back at 11–12 percent. Incumbent Minister President Sven Schulze’s CDU has seen modest erosion in support compared with prior cycles, yet no other party has closed the gap enough to contest the runner-up position in projections. The five-percent threshold dynamics further reinforce this hierarchy, with smaller parties such as the FDP and BSW at risk of exclusion. A narrow CDU second-place finish could still be disrupted by unusually high turnout favoring smaller lists or an unforeseen late shift in voter preferences within the final 24 hours, though current evidence indicates limited scope for such movement.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$143,832End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling across multiple institutes shows the AfD maintaining a commanding lead of roughly 18–21 points over the CDU ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, placing the Christian Democrats firmly in second while the Left trails further back at 11–12 percent. Incumbent Minister President Sven Schulze’s CDU has seen modest erosion in support compared with prior cycles, yet no other party has closed the gap enough to contest the runner-up position in projections. The five-percent threshold dynamics further reinforce this hierarchy, with smaller parties such as the FDP and BSW at risk of exclusion. A narrow CDU second-place finish could still be disrupted by unusually high turnout favoring smaller lists or an unforeseen late shift in voter preferences within the final 24 hours, though current evidence indicates limited scope for such movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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