Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 19-22 percent in the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, positioning the party for roughly 30-40 seats amid a tight race with the CDU and AfD. Gains stem from membership growth exceeding 18,000 in the capital, targeted appeals on housing affordability and public services under lead candidate Elif Eralp, and voter shifts from the SPD and Greens. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition faces headwinds, while AfD support has risen but remains secondary for Linke seat math. With two weeks until voting, final turnout among younger and urban demographics and any late campaign shifts could determine whether Linke lands in the 35-39 seat range or edges higher or lower. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling bands and historical seat allocation patterns in Berlin's mixed-member system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated35-39 41%
30-34 31%
40+ 25%
25-29 4.9%
$25,430 Vol.
$25,430 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
<1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
5%
30-34
31%
35-39
41%
40+
25%
35-39 41%
30-34 31%
40+ 25%
25-29 4.9%
$25,430 Vol.
$25,430 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$918 Vol.
<1%
20-24
$1,724 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$4,296 Vol.
5%
30-34
$4,333 Vol.
31%
35-39
$4,562 Vol.
41%
40+
$9,597 Vol.
25%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 19-22 percent in the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, positioning the party for roughly 30-40 seats amid a tight race with the CDU and AfD. Gains stem from membership growth exceeding 18,000 in the capital, targeted appeals on housing affordability and public services under lead candidate Elif Eralp, and voter shifts from the SPD and Greens. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition faces headwinds, while AfD support has risen but remains secondary for Linke seat math. With two weeks until voting, final turnout among younger and urban demographics and any late campaign shifts could determine whether Linke lands in the 35-39 seat range or edges higher or lower. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling bands and historical seat allocation patterns in Berlin's mixed-member system.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$25,430End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 19-22 percent in the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, positioning the party for roughly 30-40 seats amid a tight race with the CDU and AfD. Gains stem from membership growth exceeding 18,000 in the capital, targeted appeals on housing affordability and public services under lead candidate Elif Eralp, and voter shifts from the SPD and Greens. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition faces headwinds, while AfD support has risen but remains secondary for Linke seat math. With two weeks until voting, final turnout among younger and urban demographics and any late campaign shifts could determine whether Linke lands in the 35-39 seat range or edges higher or lower. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling bands and historical seat allocation patterns in Berlin's mixed-member system.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$25,430End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Die Linke at 19-22 percent in the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, positioning the party for roughly 30-40 seats amid a tight race with the CDU and AfD. Gains stem from membership growth exceeding 18,000 in the capital, targeted appeals on housing affordability and public services under lead candidate Elif Eralp, and voter shifts from the SPD and Greens. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition faces headwinds, while AfD support has risen but remains secondary for Linke seat math. With two weeks until voting, final turnout among younger and urban demographics and any late campaign shifts could determine whether Linke lands in the 35-39 seat range or edges higher or lower. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling bands and historical seat allocation patterns in Berlin's mixed-member system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions