Recent pre-election polls from early September 2026, including surveys by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA, place Die Linke at 11.5–12% in Sachsen-Anhalt, consistent with the 11–13% range observed across multiple institutes since mid-2026. This positioning reflects steady but modest support for the party amid a campaign dominated by the AfD’s lead above 40% and the CDU’s decline below 25%. The Linke’s result as the projected third-strongest force stems from limited shifts in voter preferences, with no major late-campaign catalysts altering its trajectory. Traders appear to view the 9–12% band as the most probable outcome given the tight clustering of final polling data ahead of today’s vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
9-12% 62%
12-15% 33%
<9% 4.2%
15%+ 2.2%
$44,631 Vol.
$44,631 Vol.
<9%
4%
9-12%
62%
12-15%
33%
15%+
2%
9-12% 62%
12-15% 33%
<9% 4.2%
15%+ 2.2%
$44,631 Vol.
$44,631 Vol.
<9%
4%
9-12%
62%
12-15%
33%
15%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent pre-election polls from early September 2026, including surveys by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA, place Die Linke at 11.5–12% in Sachsen-Anhalt, consistent with the 11–13% range observed across multiple institutes since mid-2026. This positioning reflects steady but modest support for the party amid a campaign dominated by the AfD’s lead above 40% and the CDU’s decline below 25%. The Linke’s result as the projected third-strongest force stems from limited shifts in voter preferences, with no major late-campaign catalysts altering its trajectory. Traders appear to view the 9–12% band as the most probable outcome given the tight clustering of final polling data ahead of today’s vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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