The tight race between the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People for third place stems from recent polling fluctuations placing both parties in the low-to-mid teens, behind United Russia and jostling with the Communist Party of the Russian Federation for the remaining spots above the five-percent threshold. LDPR draws on its longstanding regional networks and nationalist positioning, while New People has shown gains in select surveys amid efforts to attract protest voters through targeted candidate lists. With the September 18–20 vote approaching, final campaign dynamics and turnout patterns among systemic opposition supporters will determine separation among these contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 51%
New People (NL) 42%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 1.8%
$66,502 Vol.
$66,502 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
51%
New People (NL)
42%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
2%
Yabloko
1%
United Russia (ER)
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 51%
New People (NL) 42%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 1.8%
$66,502 Vol.
$66,502 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$20,035 Vol.
51%
New People (NL)
$11,442 Vol.
42%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$10,083 Vol.
5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$4,263 Vol.
2%
Yabloko
$10,844 Vol.
1%
United Russia (ER)
$3,818 Vol.
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,399 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$3,618 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The tight race between the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People for third place stems from recent polling fluctuations placing both parties in the low-to-mid teens, behind United Russia and jostling with the Communist Party of the Russian Federation for the remaining spots above the five-percent threshold. LDPR draws on its longstanding regional networks and nationalist positioning, while New People has shown gains in select surveys amid efforts to attract protest voters through targeted candidate lists. With the September 18–20 vote approaching, final campaign dynamics and turnout patterns among systemic opposition supporters will determine separation among these contenders.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$66,502End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The tight race between the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People for third place stems from recent polling fluctuations placing both parties in the low-to-mid teens, behind United Russia and jostling with the Communist Party of the Russian Federation for the remaining spots above the five-percent threshold. LDPR draws on its longstanding regional networks and nationalist positioning, while New People has shown gains in select surveys amid efforts to attract protest voters through targeted candidate lists. With the September 18–20 vote approaching, final campaign dynamics and turnout patterns among systemic opposition supporters will determine separation among these contenders.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$66,502End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight race between the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and New People for third place stems from recent polling fluctuations placing both parties in the low-to-mid teens, behind United Russia and jostling with the Communist Party of the Russian Federation for the remaining spots above the five-percent threshold. LDPR draws on its longstanding regional networks and nationalist positioning, while New People has shown gains in select surveys amid efforts to attract protest voters through targeted candidate lists. With the September 18–20 vote approaching, final campaign dynamics and turnout patterns among systemic opposition supporters will determine separation among these contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
48%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
85%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
99%
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Frequently Asked Questions