Stephen Skoly holds a strong lead in the Rhode Island Republican primary for the 2nd Congressional District, scheduled for September 9, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages heading into the final days. The state GOP endorsed Skoly at its June convention after Victor Mellor withdrew from the endorsement process, giving Skoly top ballot placement and institutional backing from party delegates and groups such as the Fraternal Order of Police. Skoly, an East Greenwich oral surgeon with decades of local practice and a record of opposing state COVID-19 mandates, benefits from established Rhode Island ties. Mellor, a self-funded challenger and former Marine who recently returned from Florida, has drawn attention through substantial personal spending and endorsements including from Michael Flynn, but faces questions over his Cuba foreign-agent registration and campaign emphasis on national issues. A September 4 debate highlighted policy overlaps on border security, healthcare, and conservative priorities with limited direct attacks. The race remains a two-candidate contest following earlier filings, with high undecideds in prior polling underscoring the impact of late momentum and turnout among Republican primary voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$12,247 Vol.
$12,247 Vol.
Stephen Skoly
80%
Victor Mellor
20%
$12,247 Vol.
$12,247 Vol.
Stephen Skoly
80%
Victor Mellor
20%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stephen Skoly holds a strong lead in the Rhode Island Republican primary for the 2nd Congressional District, scheduled for September 9, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages heading into the final days. The state GOP endorsed Skoly at its June convention after Victor Mellor withdrew from the endorsement process, giving Skoly top ballot placement and institutional backing from party delegates and groups such as the Fraternal Order of Police. Skoly, an East Greenwich oral surgeon with decades of local practice and a record of opposing state COVID-19 mandates, benefits from established Rhode Island ties. Mellor, a self-funded challenger and former Marine who recently returned from Florida, has drawn attention through substantial personal spending and endorsements including from Michael Flynn, but faces questions over his Cuba foreign-agent registration and campaign emphasis on national issues. A September 4 debate highlighted policy overlaps on border security, healthcare, and conservative priorities with limited direct attacks. The race remains a two-candidate contest following earlier filings, with high undecideds in prior polling underscoring the impact of late momentum and turnout among Republican primary voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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