Recent July PPI data cooling to 4.7% year-over-year, below the 4.9% consensus, has set a lower base for August readings amid sharp energy goods declines. Trader consensus on Polymarket now assigns a 71.5% implied probability to a 5.1%+ August YoY print, reflecting rebounding oil prices near $87 per barrel, persistent final-demand services pressures, and base effects from prior-year energy spikes. Core measures excluding food, energy, and trade services also moderated less than headline figures, while upcoming September 10 BLS release timing aligns with FOMC deliberations on monetary policy. Market-implied odds price in limited downside from the July print given commodity volatility and labor market conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5.1%+ 72%
4.8% 5.3%
4.9% 4.9%
5.0% 4.9%
$18,626 Vol.
$18,626 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
2%
4.7%
4%
4.8%
5%
4.9%
5%
5.0%
5%
5.1%+
72%
5.1%+ 72%
4.8% 5.3%
4.9% 4.9%
5.0% 4.9%
$18,626 Vol.
$18,626 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤4.2%
$683 Vol.
1%
4.3%
$308 Vol.
1%
4.4%
$372 Vol.
1%
4.5%
$392 Vol.
2%
4.6%
$331 Vol.
2%
4.7%
$678 Vol.
4%
4.8%
$548 Vol.
5%
4.9%
$767 Vol.
5%
5.0%
$2,800 Vol.
5%
5.1%+
$11,746 Vol.
72%
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July PPI data cooling to 4.7% year-over-year, below the 4.9% consensus, has set a lower base for August readings amid sharp energy goods declines. Trader consensus on Polymarket now assigns a 71.5% implied probability to a 5.1%+ August YoY print, reflecting rebounding oil prices near $87 per barrel, persistent final-demand services pressures, and base effects from prior-year energy spikes. Core measures excluding food, energy, and trade services also moderated less than headline figures, while upcoming September 10 BLS release timing aligns with FOMC deliberations on monetary policy. Market-implied odds price in limited downside from the July print given commodity volatility and labor market conditions.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$18,626End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July PPI data cooling to 4.7% year-over-year, below the 4.9% consensus, has set a lower base for August readings amid sharp energy goods declines. Trader consensus on Polymarket now assigns a 71.5% implied probability to a 5.1%+ August YoY print, reflecting rebounding oil prices near $87 per barrel, persistent final-demand services pressures, and base effects from prior-year energy spikes. Core measures excluding food, energy, and trade services also moderated less than headline figures, while upcoming September 10 BLS release timing aligns with FOMC deliberations on monetary policy. Market-implied odds price in limited downside from the July print given commodity volatility and labor market conditions.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$18,626End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July PPI data cooling to 4.7% year-over-year, below the 4.9% consensus, has set a lower base for August readings amid sharp energy goods declines. Trader consensus on Polymarket now assigns a 71.5% implied probability to a 5.1%+ August YoY print, reflecting rebounding oil prices near $87 per barrel, persistent final-demand services pressures, and base effects from prior-year energy spikes. Core measures excluding food, energy, and trade services also moderated less than headline figures, while upcoming September 10 BLS release timing aligns with FOMC deliberations on monetary policy. Market-implied odds price in limited downside from the July print given commodity volatility and labor market conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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