The open Peterborough mayoral contest for the October 26, 2026, Ontario municipal election features seven candidates after incumbent Jeff Leal opted not to seek another term. With nominations closed in late August, the field includes only one candidate with prior elected experience—incumbent councillor Keith Riel—while the others are political newcomers. Trader consensus assigns the highest probabilities to Riel, Michael Eamon, Rebecca Schillemat, and Neil Morton, reflecting the absence of public polling, major endorsements, or clear frontrunners that could consolidate support. Key factors sustaining the tight odds include voter focus on housing affordability, economic growth, taxes, and homelessness, alongside limited campaign visibility to date. Advance voting begins in early October, and further differentiation could emerge from candidate debates or targeted local endorsements before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKeith Riel 27%
Michael Eamon 24%
Rebecca Schillemat 19%
Neil Morton 10%

Keith Riel
27%

Michael Eamon
24%

Rebecca Schillemat
19%

Neil Morton
10%

Rob Hailman
3%

Jacob Méthot
2%

Brian Lumsden
2%
Keith Riel 27%
Michael Eamon 24%
Rebecca Schillemat 19%
Neil Morton 10%

Keith Riel
27%

Michael Eamon
24%

Rebecca Schillemat
19%

Neil Morton
10%

Rob Hailman
3%

Jacob Méthot
2%

Brian Lumsden
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Peterborough, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Peterborough, Ontario.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Peterborough, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Peterborough, Ontario.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The open Peterborough mayoral contest for the October 26, 2026, Ontario municipal election features seven candidates after incumbent Jeff Leal opted not to seek another term. With nominations closed in late August, the field includes only one candidate with prior elected experience—incumbent councillor Keith Riel—while the others are political newcomers. Trader consensus assigns the highest probabilities to Riel, Michael Eamon, Rebecca Schillemat, and Neil Morton, reflecting the absence of public polling, major endorsements, or clear frontrunners that could consolidate support. Key factors sustaining the tight odds include voter focus on housing affordability, economic growth, taxes, and homelessness, alongside limited campaign visibility to date. Advance voting begins in early October, and further differentiation could emerge from candidate debates or targeted local endorsements before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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