The Democratic nominee Brad Lander holds a commanding position in New York's 10th congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 82 percent general election margin in 2024. Lander secured the nomination after defeating Representative Daniel Goldman in the June 2026 Democratic primary by a wide margin, consolidating support in a district encompassing progressive strongholds in Manhattan and Brooklyn. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the party's typical midterm advantages. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for such districts, though late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-10 House Election Winner
NY-10 House Election Winner
$53,918 Vol.
$53,918 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
<1%
$53,918 Vol.
$53,918 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,742 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$37,175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Brad Lander holds a commanding position in New York's 10th congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 82 percent general election margin in 2024. Lander secured the nomination after defeating Representative Daniel Goldman in the June 2026 Democratic primary by a wide margin, consolidating support in a district encompassing progressive strongholds in Manhattan and Brooklyn. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the party's typical midterm advantages. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for such districts, though late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$53,918End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Brad Lander holds a commanding position in New York's 10th congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 82 percent general election margin in 2024. Lander secured the nomination after defeating Representative Daniel Goldman in the June 2026 Democratic primary by a wide margin, consolidating support in a district encompassing progressive strongholds in Manhattan and Brooklyn. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the party's typical midterm advantages. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for such districts, though late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,918End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee Brad Lander holds a commanding position in New York's 10th congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 82 percent general election margin in 2024. Lander secured the nomination after defeating Representative Daniel Goldman in the June 2026 Democratic primary by a wide margin, consolidating support in a district encompassing progressive strongholds in Manhattan and Brooklyn. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the party's typical midterm advantages. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for such districts, though late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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