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icon for Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Politics·Bosnia

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Politics·Bosnia

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Denis Bećirović 22.7%

Denis Zvizdić 15.6%

Elmedin Konaković 11%

Nermin Nikšić 7%

Polymarket

$115,753 Vol.

Denis Bećirović 22.7%

Denis Zvizdić 15.6%

Elmedin Konaković 11%

Nermin Nikšić 7%

Polymarket

$115,753 Vol.

icon for Denis Bećirović

Denis Bećirović

$284 Vol.

23%

icon for Denis Zvizdić

Denis Zvizdić

$12,917 Vol.

16%

icon for Elmedin Konaković

Elmedin Konaković

$34,117 Vol.

11%

icon for Nermin Nikšić

Nermin Nikšić

$33,015 Vol.

7%

icon for Saša Magazinović

Saša Magazinović

$1,062 Vol.

4%

icon for Edin Forto

Edin Forto

$484 Vol.

4%

icon for Srđan Amidžić

Srđan Amidžić

$12,477 Vol.

4%

icon for Radovan Višković

Radovan Višković

$122 Vol.

3%

icon for Zoran Tegeltija

Zoran Tegeltija

$3,381 Vol.

3%

icon for Zukan Helez

Zukan Helez

$1,206 Vol.

3%

icon for Nebojša Vukanović

Nebojša Vukanović

$4,773 Vol.

2%

icon for Željko Komšić

Željko Komšić

$1,916 Vol.

1%

icon for Borjana Krišto

Borjana Krišto

$4,863 Vol.

1%

icon for Dragan Čović

Dragan Čović

$1,784 Vol.

1%

icon for Staša Košarac

Staša Košarac

$685 Vol.

1%

icon for Bakir Izetbegović

Bakir Izetbegović

$986 Vol.

1%

icon for Sabina Ćudić

Sabina Ćudić

$780 Vol.

<1%

icon for Semir Efendić

Semir Efendić

$901 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The upcoming October 2026 general elections drive the tight market for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s next chairman of the Council of Ministers, with no dominant frontrunner among listed contenders. The three-member Presidency nominates the chair after the vote, subject to House of Representatives approval and strict ethnic-entity quotas that require cross-party deals among Bosniak, Croat, and Serb blocs. Recent coalition fractures, including the Troika alliance’s 2025 withdrawal from the prior SNSD-HDZ arrangement over EU-related legislation, have left the current Krišto cabinet operating as a minority government and heightened uncertainty over post-election alignments. Traders price multiple figures from SDP BiH, NiP, NS, and other parties in the low-to-mid single digits because historical precedent shows lengthy negotiations often elevate compromise candidates rather than election winners, while “other” reflects the broad field of potential nominees still untested by results or bargaining. Scheduled election certification and subsequent coalition talks within the next several months remain the key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$115,753
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 5:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The upcoming October 2026 general elections drive the tight market for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s next chairman of the Council of Ministers, with no dominant frontrunner among listed contenders. The three-member Presidency nominates the chair after the vote, subject to House of Representatives approval and strict ethnic-entity quotas that require cross-party deals among Bosniak, Croat, and Serb blocs. Recent coalition fractures, including the Troika alliance’s 2025 withdrawal from the prior SNSD-HDZ arrangement over EU-related legislation, have left the current Krišto cabinet operating as a minority government and heightened uncertainty over post-election alignments. Traders price multiple figures from SDP BiH, NiP, NS, and other parties in the low-to-mid single digits because historical precedent shows lengthy negotiations often elevate compromise candidates rather than election winners, while “other” reflects the broad field of potential nominees still untested by results or bargaining. Scheduled election certification and subsequent coalition talks within the next several months remain the key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$115,753
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 5:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Denis Bećirović" at 23%, followed by "Denis Zvizdić" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" has generated $115.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" is "Denis Bećirović" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denis Zvizdić" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.