Morena's commanding position in Nayarit party identification and statewide polling keeps the 2027 governorship within reach of its coalition with the PT and PVEM, yet the unresolved internal selection process disperses trader probabilities across multiple aspirants. Five leading figures registered in June 2026 for the coordination role that typically leads to the nomination, with surveys and careos showing fluctuating leads between Héctor Santana García and Geraldine Ponce Méndez alongside Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez. Opposition candidates from PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano trail significantly in general-election matchups. The coalition plans to resolve its nominee via survey after the registration window, leaving substantial room for shifts depending on the final standard-bearer and any late adjustments in voter preference before the June 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHéctor Santana García 24.4%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 15.3%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 12.1%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 11.8%
$28,570 Vol.
$28,570 Vol.
Héctor Santana García
24%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
15%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
11%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
12%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
4%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
3%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
3%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
2%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
2%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
1%
Nadia Ramírez López
1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
Héctor Santana García 24.4%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 15.3%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 12.1%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 11.8%
$28,570 Vol.
$28,570 Vol.
Héctor Santana García
24%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
15%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
11%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
12%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
4%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
3%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
3%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
2%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
2%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
1%
Nadia Ramírez López
1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena's commanding position in Nayarit party identification and statewide polling keeps the 2027 governorship within reach of its coalition with the PT and PVEM, yet the unresolved internal selection process disperses trader probabilities across multiple aspirants. Five leading figures registered in June 2026 for the coordination role that typically leads to the nomination, with surveys and careos showing fluctuating leads between Héctor Santana García and Geraldine Ponce Méndez alongside Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez. Opposition candidates from PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano trail significantly in general-election matchups. The coalition plans to resolve its nominee via survey after the registration window, leaving substantial room for shifts depending on the final standard-bearer and any late adjustments in voter preference before the June 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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