Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured renomination with 86% in the August 11 primary against a limited challenger, while Democrat Trina Swanson won her party's nomination with 77%. Minnesota's 8th district carries an R+7 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3 contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 85.5% reflects the district's rural and Iron Range base, incumbency advantages, and absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive shift this cycle. The 14.5% Democratic share accounts for potential turnout swings in a midterm environment but remains constrained by structural factors favoring the GOP hold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMN-08 House Election Winner
MN-08 House Election Winner
$20,803 Vol.
$20,803 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
15%
$20,803 Vol.
$20,803 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,205 Vol.
86%
Democratic Party
$9,598 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured renomination with 86% in the August 11 primary against a limited challenger, while Democrat Trina Swanson won her party's nomination with 77%. Minnesota's 8th district carries an R+7 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3 contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 85.5% reflects the district's rural and Iron Range base, incumbency advantages, and absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive shift this cycle. The 14.5% Democratic share accounts for potential turnout swings in a midterm environment but remains constrained by structural factors favoring the GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$20,803End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured renomination with 86% in the August 11 primary against a limited challenger, while Democrat Trina Swanson won her party's nomination with 77%. Minnesota's 8th district carries an R+7 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3 contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 85.5% reflects the district's rural and Iron Range base, incumbency advantages, and absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive shift this cycle. The 14.5% Democratic share accounts for potential turnout swings in a midterm environment but remains constrained by structural factors favoring the GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,803End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured renomination with 86% in the August 11 primary against a limited challenger, while Democrat Trina Swanson won her party's nomination with 77%. Minnesota's 8th district carries an R+7 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3 contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 85.5% reflects the district's rural and Iron Range base, incumbency advantages, and absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive shift this cycle. The 14.5% Democratic share accounts for potential turnout swings in a midterm environment but remains constrained by structural factors favoring the GOP hold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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