AfD maintains a clear lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls ahead of the September 20 election, positioning it as the strongest party despite a narrowing gap. The latest Infratest dimap survey shows AfD at 35 percent and SPD at 32 percent, with the latter gaining three points since July while AfD slips one. Earlier Forsa and INSA results indicated a wider AfD advantage around 36-37 percent. The current SPD-Left coalition lacks a projected majority, and smaller parties including the Left, CDU, and Greens remain well behind, limiting viable alternatives. This sustained first-place standing in voter intention data underpins the market's heavy weighting toward AfD as the parliamentary election winner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 78%
SPD 22%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$710,329 Vol.
$710,329 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
78%
SPD
22%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 78%
SPD 22%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$710,329 Vol.
$710,329 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
$190,811 Vol.
78%
SPD
$160,581 Vol.
22%
Linke
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$115,965 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a clear lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls ahead of the September 20 election, positioning it as the strongest party despite a narrowing gap. The latest Infratest dimap survey shows AfD at 35 percent and SPD at 32 percent, with the latter gaining three points since July while AfD slips one. Earlier Forsa and INSA results indicated a wider AfD advantage around 36-37 percent. The current SPD-Left coalition lacks a projected majority, and smaller parties including the Left, CDU, and Greens remain well behind, limiting viable alternatives. This sustained first-place standing in voter intention data underpins the market's heavy weighting toward AfD as the parliamentary election winner.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$710,329End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a clear lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls ahead of the September 20 election, positioning it as the strongest party despite a narrowing gap. The latest Infratest dimap survey shows AfD at 35 percent and SPD at 32 percent, with the latter gaining three points since July while AfD slips one. Earlier Forsa and INSA results indicated a wider AfD advantage around 36-37 percent. The current SPD-Left coalition lacks a projected majority, and smaller parties including the Left, CDU, and Greens remain well behind, limiting viable alternatives. This sustained first-place standing in voter intention data underpins the market's heavy weighting toward AfD as the parliamentary election winner.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$710,329End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a clear lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polls ahead of the September 20 election, positioning it as the strongest party despite a narrowing gap. The latest Infratest dimap survey shows AfD at 35 percent and SPD at 32 percent, with the latter gaining three points since July while AfD slips one. Earlier Forsa and INSA results indicated a wider AfD advantage around 36-37 percent. The current SPD-Left coalition lacks a projected majority, and smaller parties including the Left, CDU, and Greens remain well behind, limiting viable alternatives. This sustained first-place standing in voter intention data underpins the market's heavy weighting toward AfD as the parliamentary election winner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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