Recent polls in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20 Landtag election show the AfD leading at 35-37% while the SPD holds second at 28-32%, with the Linke third near 11% and the CDU slipping to 8-10%. The SPD’s recent gains of two to three points have narrowed the gap without overtaking the AfD, reinforcing its position as the clear runner-up. Smaller parties such as the Grüne hover at the five-percent threshold and the BSW below it, limiting their prospects for second place. These trends, reflected in multiple surveys through late August, underpin the elevated implied probability for the SPD finishing second and the correspondingly low probabilities assigned to the AfD and trailing parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSPD 78%
AfD 21.3%
CDU <1%
Grüne <1%
$39,371 Vol.
$39,371 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
SPD
78%
AfD
21%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
SPD 78%
AfD 21.3%
CDU <1%
Grüne <1%
$39,371 Vol.
$39,371 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
SPD
$18,924 Vol.
78%
AfD
$15,118 Vol.
21%
CDU
$902 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$909 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$815 Vol.
<1%
FW
$749 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$920 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20 Landtag election show the AfD leading at 35-37% while the SPD holds second at 28-32%, with the Linke third near 11% and the CDU slipping to 8-10%. The SPD’s recent gains of two to three points have narrowed the gap without overtaking the AfD, reinforcing its position as the clear runner-up. Smaller parties such as the Grüne hover at the five-percent threshold and the BSW below it, limiting their prospects for second place. These trends, reflected in multiple surveys through late August, underpin the elevated implied probability for the SPD finishing second and the correspondingly low probabilities assigned to the AfD and trailing parties.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$39,371End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20 Landtag election show the AfD leading at 35-37% while the SPD holds second at 28-32%, with the Linke third near 11% and the CDU slipping to 8-10%. The SPD’s recent gains of two to three points have narrowed the gap without overtaking the AfD, reinforcing its position as the clear runner-up. Smaller parties such as the Grüne hover at the five-percent threshold and the BSW below it, limiting their prospects for second place. These trends, reflected in multiple surveys through late August, underpin the elevated implied probability for the SPD finishing second and the correspondingly low probabilities assigned to the AfD and trailing parties.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$39,371End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20 Landtag election show the AfD leading at 35-37% while the SPD holds second at 28-32%, with the Linke third near 11% and the CDU slipping to 8-10%. The SPD’s recent gains of two to three points have narrowed the gap without overtaking the AfD, reinforcing its position as the clear runner-up. Smaller parties such as the Grüne hover at the five-percent threshold and the BSW below it, limiting their prospects for second place. These trends, reflected in multiple surveys through late August, underpin the elevated implied probability for the SPD finishing second and the correspondingly low probabilities assigned to the AfD and trailing parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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