Maryland’s 7th congressional district, which includes much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+31 Partisan Voter Index and consistent 70-80% margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 75% of the vote, facing only limited intra-party opposition before advancing to the general election against Republican nominee Scott Collier. Forecasters across outlets have rated the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan composition, turnout patterns, and limited crossover support. Trader consensus near 97% for a Democratic outcome tracks these structural factors. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or national political shift could still alter the result before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMD-07 House Election Winner
MD-07 House Election Winner
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,273 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$9,125 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, which includes much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+31 Partisan Voter Index and consistent 70-80% margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 75% of the vote, facing only limited intra-party opposition before advancing to the general election against Republican nominee Scott Collier. Forecasters across outlets have rated the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan composition, turnout patterns, and limited crossover support. Trader consensus near 97% for a Democratic outcome tracks these structural factors. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or national political shift could still alter the result before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,398End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, which includes much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+31 Partisan Voter Index and consistent 70-80% margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 75% of the vote, facing only limited intra-party opposition before advancing to the general election against Republican nominee Scott Collier. Forecasters across outlets have rated the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan composition, turnout patterns, and limited crossover support. Trader consensus near 97% for a Democratic outcome tracks these structural factors. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or national political shift could still alter the result before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,398End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district, which includes much of Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+31 Partisan Voter Index and consistent 70-80% margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 75% of the vote, facing only limited intra-party opposition before advancing to the general election against Republican nominee Scott Collier. Forecasters across outlets have rated the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan composition, turnout patterns, and limited crossover support. Trader consensus near 97% for a Democratic outcome tracks these structural factors. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or national political shift could still alter the result before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions