The Massachusetts 6th Congressional District’s D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for prior incumbent Seth Moulton, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat opened after Moulton pursued a Senate bid, drawing a crowded Democratic primary won by Dan Koh on September 1; he now faces Republican Micah Jones, who ran unopposed. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited GOP infrastructure and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. A commanding Democratic position could shift only through late developments such as nominee withdrawal, major scandal, or an unforeseen national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMA-06 House Election Winner
MA-06 House Election Winner
$27,148 Vol.
$27,148 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$27,148 Vol.
$27,148 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,797 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$11,351 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th Congressional District’s D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for prior incumbent Seth Moulton, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat opened after Moulton pursued a Senate bid, drawing a crowded Democratic primary won by Dan Koh on September 1; he now faces Republican Micah Jones, who ran unopposed. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited GOP infrastructure and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. A commanding Democratic position could shift only through late developments such as nominee withdrawal, major scandal, or an unforeseen national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$27,148End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th Congressional District’s D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for prior incumbent Seth Moulton, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat opened after Moulton pursued a Senate bid, drawing a crowded Democratic primary won by Dan Koh on September 1; he now faces Republican Micah Jones, who ran unopposed. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited GOP infrastructure and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. A commanding Democratic position could shift only through late developments such as nominee withdrawal, major scandal, or an unforeseen national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,148End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 6th Congressional District’s D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for prior incumbent Seth Moulton, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat opened after Moulton pursued a Senate bid, drawing a crowded Democratic primary won by Dan Koh on September 1; he now faces Republican Micah Jones, who ran unopposed. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited GOP infrastructure and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. A commanding Democratic position could shift only through late developments such as nominee withdrawal, major scandal, or an unforeseen national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural lean.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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