**Forecast consensus from global models indicates Shenzhen's overnight low on September 6 will likely settle in the 25–27°C range amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and high humidity.** Dew points near 24–25°C and limited radiative cooling under a subtropical airmass with easterly flow are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with September climatology where minimums average around 24–26°C. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C because ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs show small variations in timing and intensity of showers that could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Lower outcomes below 23°C would require clearer skies and stronger northerly advection not currently supported, while warmer readings above 28°C appear improbable given the moisture-laden boundary layer. Updated model guidance overnight will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
25°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
17%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
30%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
25°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
50%
23°C
$0 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$1 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$45 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$1,193 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from global models indicates Shenzhen's overnight low on September 6 will likely settle in the 25–27°C range amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and high humidity.** Dew points near 24–25°C and limited radiative cooling under a subtropical airmass with easterly flow are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with September climatology where minimums average around 24–26°C. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C because ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs show small variations in timing and intensity of showers that could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Lower outcomes below 23°C would require clearer skies and stronger northerly advection not currently supported, while warmer readings above 28°C appear improbable given the moisture-laden boundary layer. Updated model guidance overnight will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,329End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from global models indicates Shenzhen's overnight low on September 6 will likely settle in the 25–27°C range amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and high humidity.** Dew points near 24–25°C and limited radiative cooling under a subtropical airmass with easterly flow are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with September climatology where minimums average around 24–26°C. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C because ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs show small variations in timing and intensity of showers that could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Lower outcomes below 23°C would require clearer skies and stronger northerly advection not currently supported, while warmer readings above 28°C appear improbable given the moisture-laden boundary layer. Updated model guidance overnight will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,329End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from global models indicates Shenzhen's overnight low on September 6 will likely settle in the 25–27°C range amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and high humidity.** Dew points near 24–25°C and limited radiative cooling under a subtropical airmass with easterly flow are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with September climatology where minimums average around 24–26°C. Traders assign roughly equal weight to 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C because ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs show small variations in timing and intensity of showers that could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Lower outcomes below 23°C would require clearer skies and stronger northerly advection not currently supported, while warmer readings above 28°C appear improbable given the moisture-laden boundary layer. Updated model guidance overnight will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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